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I've heard comparisons with Rome pretty much my entire life. It wasn't an educated comparison, it was people saying "all empires fall, we are an empire, we look like we might fall". In that sense, I think people are probably pretty savvy but just lack the data points needed to connect the dots.

I was more so thinking of the patterns that are already in the past, like the rise of the US as a great power, the social patterns, etc. Not the current populism. From foundation to great power status took the US ~200 years, it took Rome ~500 years, the transition from great power to center of...

If the US falls they are taking everyone down with them. That is the nature of being the lynchpin in a global economy. I really doubt that green ideology or any of the current ideologies would survive a pre-industrial environment.

Ordinary liberal I was talking to, pointed out that they had a very weak grasp of modern liberal political ideas and absolutely no grasp of conservative thinking. They went out, bought three books on conservative thought and... never read them. World views seep into writing. It's like why...

Yeah, and I think we have very congruent opinions on what makes for good political leadership. The thing is, systems are artificial, they are a social technology. It's unfortunately extremely difficult to talk about politics without using the term "system". I really want to though because I...

There was a YouTube channel called NotJustBikes that did a video on how road design subconsciously causes different driver behaviors. Wide/straight streets make people drive faster, narrow/windy streets make people drive slower. My point is that causes and outcomes are not always linked in...