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From what I've seen, not reliant on the Zeihan, China is completely fucked no matter what international diplomacy they do. Their demographics, their culture, their military, their economy, everything is broken. China also has a very good record of starting relationships but a very poor one...

About what? I don't follow him that closely.

His point about what it takes to make a nuclear base sounds a lot like BS. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9K52_Luna-M Oh wow! Look at all that infrastructure and IT. Hell, the US military got into hot water a while back because our own silos were using reel-to-reel computers.

Dan Tubb on the Lotus Eaters does a series called Brokenomics, where he mentions that the vulnerability of the economy comes from all the moves made to offset the effects of national debt (in every developed economy) which stems from government over-spending, which mostly comes from the...

You're comment really made me think of Yes Minister. We're worse now for size of government, centralization and inability to act than they were when they were mocking it.

Nice condemnation of over-centralization of power. Kind of parallels what Janusz Korwin-Mikke said about the strength of monarchy, that one man is incapable of handling many issues and so must leave the people greater freedom. That would be the wise approach, to limit yourself when you have...

Oh yeah, almost certainly, never attribute to malice what is likely incompetency, but they'll take a happy accident when it falls in their lap.

My theory is that this is what the sudden relaxation of their zero covid was. They got the entire country sick at once, they had seven different strains in Beijing alone, 3 of them brand new. The hidden death toll is gigantic, but mostly on those who are a net drain on the economy. In one...

I've predicted, wrongly, the downfall of the Chinese economy a number of times for the reasons that Cherico points out. China's economy is a farce wrapped in a rice-wrap, hidden by a used Kleenex. It's all total BS propped up by the CCP's favoritism and lies. Always has been. What Xi and...

Holy shit, I did an interview for a job in Marshalltown just the other day. It's a town of only 23k people. What do we want? 👏👏 China's collapse! 👏👏 When do we want it? 👏👏 1949! 👏👏 What do we nom nom? 👏👏 War Wolfs! 👏👏 I don't buy that the chief diplomat got demoted for doing what he was...

Very possible. There are a couple of things that could prevent this scenario. Russia has experienced a lot of western sanctions over the past few decades, not as severe as these ones but enough for their populace to have both built a tolerance and a robust smuggling industry. Certain consumer...

I can agree that it's "Russia's war to lose", but everything else? Everything that is true of the Ukrainians this winter will also be true for the Russians. Winter is a time to rest, dig in and recover, especially in an age of mechanized warfare where your engines turn snow into mud...

"Thanks Obama!" Couldn't have told you the details, but I could have easily told you that he was unqualified for the role and pretty shit overall. His political career was one term as a junior senator. What is it about ho-bag moms and over-achieving flops?