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    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    BTW, using minority rights as an excuse for Russia to go to war with an A-H led by FF would be rather fishy considering that FF would be rather pro-minority--other than of course for the Hungarians. Is Russia going to want to go to war for the Hungarians, who have a history of oppressing Slavs?
  2. W

    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    Makes sense. Why did Britain go to war in 1914, then? The manpower losses should not be too huge since they would only be losing, say, a couple dozen million people while still keeping something like almost 100 million people. OK. Except the CPs might be content to restore the status quo...
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    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    Though it would be a risky gamble for France since France could lose a lot if its side will lose the war. Briey and Longwy, for instance. If France goes through Belgium, then the odds of Britain entering the war on Germany's side increase expotentially, no? Especially also considering the fact...
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    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    If France won't be attacking, then Germany won't need to have too many forces in the West as a precautionary measure. A small number of German forces in the West would be sufficient, I think, especially since Germany's border with France is relatively short. So, the giant armies that Germany...
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    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    But a small nation coalition (Italy, Serbia, and Romania, I would presume?) won't be enough to fight against the Central Powers without France's help even in 1917!
  6. W

    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    If Russia itself will attack, will it actually get French support for this. Because Russia won't move without any French support. And what exactly will Russia's casus belli here actually be? After all, it's not like the Ukrainians, Poles, and Ruthenians in A-H are actually itching to join Russia.
  7. W

    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    Would the same also be true for both Serbia and Romania? As in, they themselves would not be the first ones to attack A-H during an A-H civil war in 1917 or whenever? If so, does that mean that the risk of a 1917 A-H civil war escalating into a general European war is unlikely? FWIW, I was...
  8. W

    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    What about while an Austro-Hungarian civil war is going on?
  9. W

    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war?

    If Franz Ferdinand would have lived, what would have been the risk of an eventual A-H-Italy war? I know that Franz Ferdinand was chronically concerned about the risk of an eventual war with Italy, viewing it as A-H's main security problem and viewing any A-H attempts to go to war with Serbia as...
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