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I think that it is most likely in the last scenario that Nicholas II does not mobilize in favor of Italy, but is willing to mobilize in favor of the Balkan League if they still decide to declare war on the Ottoman Empire and will subsequently be at risk of losing this war. In such a scenario, I...

What about the fourth party: The Galician Jews? ;)

Question: If diluting the Magyars' power in Hungary was super-crucial for a surviving Franz Ferdinand, why not go a step further and add both Galicia and Bukovina to Hungary? Their placement in Austria was a bit strange considering that geographically they would fit in much more in Hungary than...

Because it could risk triggering a World War?

Interesting. BTW, off-topic, but in a 1917 alt-WWI that involves a Hungarian secession attempt, just how likely do you think that Serbia, Romania, and/or Italy will be in supporting separatist movements within Austria-Hungary? Serbia in Bosnia, Romania in Transylvania and Bukovina, and Italy in...

Intriguing. Did the A-H parliaments vote in favor of war in 1914?

Just how much power did the Austrian and Hungarian parliaments actually have, though? Because if they had as little power as the Russian Duma had, then that's not exactly comforting.

@sillygoose What odds would you place on Austria-Hungary eventually experiencing a revolution had FF lived due to FF's absolutist tendencies and inclinations?

Yeah, since Franz Ferdinand was a peacenik, I would think that if he lived and WWI were to eventually start, it would likely be either over the Ausgleich or over the Armenians/Kurds in the Ottoman Empire. (Persia is, of course, another less likely possibility for this.) OK; good. FWIW, this...

But wouldn't WWI start over the Ausgleich in this TL? Because I was presuming that WWI starts over the Ausgleich and thus Britain refuses to support open Russian aggression against Austria. That, and Germany doesn't invade Belgium since the Schlieffen Plan is no longer viable by then due to...

Isn't workable politically in what sense? And Germany can import food without the British blockade, no?

Accept the L? BTW, what are your thoughts on my analysis above about how a 1917 alt-WWI would go?

Please look at this industry map of Austria-Hungary, for instance: https://ww1.habsburger.net/en/media/overview-map-industry-austria-hungary-19 The lion's share of their industry is located in their western Austrian territories, which are the territories that are the least likely to fall to...

I've always wondered about this and I wonder if in a 1917 alt-WWI, the Germano-Austrian strategy would be to give up on East Prussia, Galicia, Bukovina, Hungary, Bosnia, Croatia, Dalmatia, and maybe Slovenia--at least for the time being--and completely focus on protecting their core territories...

So, Franz Ferdinand wanted to keep the Dual Monarchy's political structure intact but to simply implement universal suffrage in Hungary? And Yeah, having no parliament at all would be EXTREMELY regressive by early 20th century standards since even autocratic Tsarist Russia already had a...