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Right, those vehicles exist but they are not ready. They need mechanical work, they need everything from the engine to the gun looked at and checked. They need an allotment of spares tracked down and assigned. This is the kind of fiddly detail work that takes time. Large amounts of the Leo1a5s...

How much action ready surplus is left at this point? Less then I think you realize.

Political will isn't some minor thing. The gathering political will and national effort is literally what's keeping Russia competitive in the war. It takes concentrated effort to shift political inertia to motivate a population to war. It's hardly something that happens overnight. Likewise...

Time will tell. I think Ukraine is on the ropes. It lacks the ability to get it's self back in the war. It lacks the industry, it lacks the manpower, it lacks the political will to mobilize said manpower, it lacks the equipment to fit out new troops. It is almost entirely reliant on foreign...

That's not quite the gotcha you think with how badly kept they are. The pre deployed caches were terribly managed and upkept before they started raiding them for equipment to see to Ukraine. Don't take my word, take the US Army's Impector General. Equipment for Ukraine drawn from Kuwait wasn’t...

I mean sure, it's possible and even probable that outside of the public contract tendering for missile refurbishment, some discretionary black funds got spent. But really? I don't think much money got spent on giga-unsexy ammunition stock refurbishment when there are all kinds of far sexier...

The US Navy has currently zero ability to reload ships at sea. It doesn't need the ability anymore you see, because it has fewer anti-shipping/cruse missiles then it has launcher space. That is to say they there is zero surplus ammo if every ship was given a warload. It's not hard to check...

The currently in use US ship launched cruise missile was built in the '80s. It's certainly been modernized since, but not for over a decade. It certainly doesn't need current top grade silicone. The fact that China might not be able to make current Gen chips doesn't matter, at least for...

You did see the level of Chinese entanglement in US missile manufacturers yes? Why exactly would Russia not be able to just buy from the same Chinese companies? Sure it furthers Russian dependence on China, but that's a long term issue for Russia.

Also the Russian airborne casualty claims are vastly overstated. Reuters found about 10% losses in junior officers, a notoriously high casualties position. https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/ukraine-crisis-russia-officers/

Tomahawk production is a meme, it swings between less then 30 and zero and has for the last decade. Not helped by how tied in China is to military production. America’s Carriers Rely on Chinese Chips, Our Depleted Munitions Too Refitting Abrams tanks certainly possible. It's just not done in...

Small arms and unrifled artillery on light trucks is some Afghanistan levels of production. They have to send tanks out of country for depot level repairs. Zero medium range missiles, zero medium to heavy artillery. Zero tanks or IFVs. There was talk about a Leo repair/light production factory...

No it's working out in a very typical soviet manner. Russia has gotten its burn rate under its production and refurbishment numbers. It has the ability to spread its casualties across a broad enough population demographic to soak the losses and is pressuring its oligarchs enough to squeeze a...

I mean, it's all well and good to talk about how the West in general and the US in particular could step up production of war material if it wanted to. But it so far hasn't. The EU had to cut back it's production targets over and over. It has hundreds of tank orders for various models of Leos...

I mean, the USA has drawn up plans for an invasion of Canada. They are even updated every so often. Let's wait until at least the Ukrainian propaganda press talks about executions before accusing the Russians of something.

Hard agree, this is the thread for a different invasion.