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Under circumstances, of course they would. Their daughter being Queen depends on it. Only to be dismember-fested by Kingsguard a heartbeat later. Not that anyone in the right mind would ever allow them to cross swords in light of the above... (And you probably meant Rhaegar.)

CTAing? No idea what that means in the context. To marry his kids like he planned to (Lyanna with Robert, Brandon with Catelyn), Rickard had to have southern ambitions, no way around it. Othewise the marriages would have been within the North, maybe one kid to a fellow LP, but no entanglements...

Well, Robert has no due cause to rebel, plus "his" agreement to marry was with the Starks, so technically it's the Starks who are in default, not the Crown. Sure, the Crown Prince cock-blocking a Lord Paramount is a dick move, but doesn't actually violate any rights (other then the Faith being...

If Rhaegar pulls his stunt with Lyanna... well... if we go by the show where they married, all Aerys has to do is let the Starks know their daughter / sister is now princess, her kids will follow the children by Elia Martell in line of succession, and the Crown wishes the new Crown Princess all...

All in all an interesting take on the SI vector, by all means please keep it up. :)