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Possible, although at some point, wouldn't Austria-Hungary and Bulgaria also compete for influence and domination in the Balkans as well? The only major sore point left would be the status of the Serbian Orthodox Church, given that there might be a slight chance that there could be some pressure...

That just multiplies the terrorist problem for Austria-Hungary.

The Obrenovic dynasty was pretty much dead with the murder of the last Obrenovic king. Who else would become the new King of Serbia that is pro-Austrian in this scenario? The House of Petrovic-Njegos rules Montenegro, but is pretty much aligned with Russia, while the House of Karadjordjevic may...