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On the flip side, having Kinmen and Matsu remain in Taiwanese hands could be a good dagger aimed at China's southern regions. Only thing is, would it also be a good place to set up a forward base for a potential Taiwanese operations in the Chinese mainland?

Their leadership are a bunch of boneheaded pricks, aren't they? It's more along the lines of how difficult it would be to reinforce those two islands is what I wanted to know.

Would it have been more pragmatic for Taiwan to give up Kinmen and Matsu to the PRC in exchange for becoming an actual, independent Taiwanese nation? Given that the only difficulty in reinforcing those two islands is the possible presence of the PLA Navy and those islands are within range of...

Chiang would be rolling in his grave at the idea of the KMT now being a pro-reunification under CCP control

Probably because we still might have a faint hope of a Chinese reunification under an anti-communist banner? Though given the choice between independence and reunification, it might actually make more strategic sense (from both the Philippines and Japan's POV) to actually support Taiwanese...

Unlike Russia though, I don't think China would care at all about civilian casualties. To them, it's basically unfinished business from the Chinese Civil War.

Well, that escalated rather quickly.

If that’s the case, the US also risks losing SE Asia as well.

Another possible unintentional side effect of China getting into a war would be related to gender imbalance. Since the gender ration is heavily skewed in favor of Chinese males, a huge amount of casualties sustained would actually result in that imbalance shrinking. At the same time though, what...

Malaysia, Singapore, and possibly the Philippines have significant Chinese minority populations, though relations between the Chinese diaspora and the indigenous populations in SE Asia are rather tense. Other than that, Canada would always be open to accepting Taiwanese refugees.

Assuming that China would even show mercy to the Taiwanese that wants to flee from Taiwan? It would depend on how many Taiwanese would be able to escape. Other than that, fleeing Taiwanese might also make their way to SE Asia, where there's a long standing Chinese diaspora there.

If China did launch its military operation, I would suspect that they might be more eager to cause a lot of damage to Taiwan than Russia attempting to “limit” the damages done to Ukraine. Quemoy and Matsu would obviously be targeted for bombardment, but there might also be a chance that China...

If China doesn’t do anything much, the big fear would be that Xi might face a public embarrassment long enough for him to be couped, and replaced with a stronger war hawk. Either way, China has maneuvered themselves into a difficult situation of their own making.

Well, it might very well be nuclear war then.

It would be nice if American military equipment was made in a way that was simple, easy to fix, and cheap to sell as well.