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Which is why I think that perhaps Russia should have avoided triggering the Crimean War if they wanted to keep their alliance or relationship intact with Britain and France. Alternatively, you could have an even worse succession crisis within the Qing court, where a Crown Prince dies in a...

One additional factor that may impede this plan of conquest: Russia had just lost the Crimean War, so they may not be in any condition to expand their borders, with less troops that's still standing from said conflict. In order to carry out this kind of successful expansion, you would need to...

Something like this?

Going back to the thread in question, if China could fragment much sooner, during the Taiping Uprising, that could also trigger other rebellions that may undermine the Qing. If you could also throw in a succession crisis by say, the early death of Prince Zaichun (the OTL Tongzhi Emperor), you...

I could think of the most realistic way that the Russians can technically gain control of the entirety of Manchuria would have been for the Taiping Rebellion to go a little bit better for the Taiping rebels, in that you could also have multiple rebellions breaking out against the Qing as well...