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I think Yamamoto knew, but he wanted to batter the Americans hard enough to force them to the peace table, so they could let the US and Germany fight it out. Japan was somewhat dependent on American oil and really dependent on American steel, I don't believe the plan was to defeat them so much...

You have to admire Admiral Yamamoto, who admitted the act began dishonorable by the failure of diplomats and resolved to fight to the end knowing he was facing an enemy who would be too filled with fury and shame to negotiate. Admire it even though it was suicide.