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  1. Skallagrim

    What if Pim Fortuyn survives his assassination attempt?

    I see no reason to wait even three years. Of course, we don't even have the death penalty in the Netherlands. Which is, I think, a mistake. It shouldn't be used lightly, and the main issue to guard against is the danger of executing someone who later turns out to be innocent -- but in this...
  2. Skallagrim

    What if Pim Fortuyn survives his assassination attempt?

    He never truly clarified his motives. He's refused to answer questions, and one condition of his eventual release from prison was a life-long ban from holding interviews or otherwise seeking publicity (e.g. publishing a book about the matter).
  3. Skallagrim

    What if Pim Fortuyn survives his assassination attempt?

    An early opponent of non-Western immigration was Hans Janmaat. His Centre Party advocated closing the borders completely. It should be noted that their stances would be considered fairly moderate by today's standards, although Janmaat himself occasionally displayed evident anti-semitism (for...
  4. Skallagrim

    What if Pim Fortuyn survives his assassination attempt?

    Lots of people said they'd leave the USA if Trump got elected, too. Not many did actually leave. In fact, I can think of no examples. There may be some Muslims in particular who choose to leave, but I don't think it would even be that many. Fortuyn was opposed to far-left green activists, and...
  5. Skallagrim

    What if Pim Fortuyn survives his assassination attempt?

    His main gripe was with Islam (which he famously called "a retarded culture"), but the desire for a selective immigration policy was pretty much a general aim. The Dutch legal realities also ensure that it's practically impossible to close the borders only for Muslims. You'd need to basically...
  6. Skallagrim

    What if Pim Fortuyn survives his assassination attempt?

    OTL figures indicate c. 1,49 million people of non-Western descent in the Netherlands back then, of whom c. 700.000 were Muslims. In 2022, it's c. 2,43 million non-Westerners, of whom c. 980.000 are Muslims. In the ATL, I'd estimate (assuming a high birthrate among the already-present...
  7. Skallagrim

    What if Pim Fortuyn survives his assassination attempt?

    Fortuyn was leading in the polls before he was killed. A failed assassination attempt -- by a far-left radical, too -- will serve to vindicate his ideas, and lead to sympathy votes. 45 seats out of 150 in the Lower House isn't out of the question. GroenLinks (Greens) and the PvdA (Labour) will...
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