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I do not think it will be 5-8 years. Economic issues, trouble on other boarders, the number of men avoiding call up, the tanks pulled out of stocks have been looted of best equipment and sold off. The newish tanks that can be built are numbered in low dozens per year…. Maybe. Major issue is...

France led the way in the Libyan invasion, needed US support less than 48 hours in. Who plans an invasion and runs out of ammo less than 2 days in? Mostly logistics and transport support.

Poe go play sex games with farm animals, tell me to fuck off. You have repeatedly shown your bias and if anyone disagrees you become hostile. But to respond to your MIC ( WTF is that anyway?) Talking points my comments are from firsthand or second hand information. But thanks for informing...

Turkey is also not any kind of representative democracy. Remember the military coup that happened ? The one where all the coup leaders and Erdogons most vocal critics “forgot coup day” and did not show up for the coup, so just happened to be arrested in bed by the valiant “counter-coupers”(...

Ironic that Zeihan did not think China will just turn to slavery for its work force. They use it in some places already

After an attack on a US carrier? …. Declare war was n Iran. Give international warning for 2 weeks to clear out of Iranian territory and waters and do not approach w/I 50 nautical miles. Karg/ Karch island 90+% of Iran's oil flows through that point. Hit any PNG/ oil pipe lines out of...

France had to ask for help in the 2011 invasion of Libya 36 hours after H-hour. I guess that is better than 24 hours. Mainly logistics, munitions, and intel, which led to US air assets. Ironic because it was made clear it was a Europe-centric OP. Strategy page .com had decent reporting on...

Then again I am hoping for the same thing for the USA.

I took a transportation logistics class a few years back right before Covid. I pointed out that the increase in super cargo hulls and decrease in smaller cargo hulls was going to be a bad thing if you have interruptions in supply chain just because more cargo containers will be tied up in less...

PZ released a Sunday video on YouTube, not a normal thing. About Finland and Russia.

Any idea where this data is from?

Something PZ adjacent…

Not “the military wants to admit”, but the civilian administration wants to admit to the American public, whose sons and daughters died when they did not have too. Why to score points with all the countries not paying for their own defense and protecting their international trade.

ROE is a joke and it is not a civil issue, or if it is it is even worse. If ROE is a civilian issue then as currently used the civilian government does not care about protecting US citizens who are military members. Americans always have a right to self-defense. Granted I have thought about...

Hmmm, not Chinese level….but some people seem to want the soldiers moving in that direction. Example of a 30 year difference in training. Some fairly recent Infantry training I was told about: CMD leadership mainly from TRADOC. (Canned training is not training.) Squad live fire members must IMT...

Iran-backed group attacks Russian/Chinese-backed ships….. Yeah sounds good I will grab the popcorn. Why do I not trust Chinese backed insurance paying out?

Economists implying someone can not be trusted in their predictions? That is hilarious…..

China economic attack on Finland. Finland declares war on China and just sinks any Chinese ship that enters the Baltic or North Sea. What is China going to do send a fleet to Finland?

I believe Iraq and Afghanistan are what happens when half the government is sabotaging the process as they skim off the top.

Or you know come up with a ~trillion dollars or so and build a bigger canal.