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Update on this. The ship suffered a steering malfunction and grounded. After 5 hours it was refloated with no issue and is heading in under tow for repairs

The winds don't actually matter in this regard. If you look at the plot, the channel is narrower than the ship is long, therefore bank effect will be the primary driver here. Note, that usually this is used to the advantage of shipping in such channels, if you watch ships in the Suez (and the...

it's actually a thing in narrow channels like that, if you drift too far to one side you'll have your stern pulled towards the bank, while your bow swings out. It's called the bank effect, there's this wonderful video from Casual Navigation about it which shows how it works.