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I think my initial comparison to the American Civil war way at the beginning remains apt: certainly in the East, there really isn't a whole lot of space to give: their two biggest cities are right close to the border, just as Richmond was less than 200 km away from Washington. Ukraine doesn't...

I mean, given Russian history, liquidating opponents is equal treatment between Russians and Ukrainians. Killing the bad Slav for the good of the Slavic brotherhood overall has never really been a line culturally. Hell, its not in the US either! We have plenty of people now calling for the blood...

Assuming this is a real Russian Estimate (no real idea who's good vs bad twitter accounts for this situation) I vaguely recall some rule of thumb that initial kill estimates are something like 3x higher than actual? Tendency for soldiers to count everything they shot at as a kill, or multiple...

Yeah, very boomery with those flags on their car, and synchronized dance does tend to look fairly corny. At least not as cringe as leftist twitter. But yeah, seems a good video of a side of the war we don't see. Not sure why it would be persuasive one way or the other. Annoyed you beat me to...

I'm wondering why you consider this a reason to dismiss it? Like, Mein Kamp is definitely propaganda, as its a book which Hitler argues his case for what he think needs to happen and why. Its a work of persuasion. But, if you wanted to understand why Hitler wanted to do what he did, as far as...

I think someone posted a video that apparently the initial invasions plans were captured, and the Russian plan was apparently a 15 day invasion. If that was their timeline, the invasion would supposed to be "complete" by March 11. Or maybe it was to take Mariupol? So, if their plan was Mariupol...

This is why I was so blackpilled earlier: this is a perfect excuse to go after anyone right of Mao who the government wants to get rid of. I think this is why so many people reacted so viscerally to people like short fat Otako (youtube streamer) who talked as though the US was in the moral...

That's sort of like saying Reagan wasn't woke, so all that 70s radicalism was just dead in the water. The fact Poland had to radically depower its supreme court because it was overrun with communists suggests the whole institution is still there. All Poland's current situation proves is your at...

Is that really true of anyone who takes a pro-Russian Stance? They're going against the official consensus of the Western Establishment, and as we see with Covid and all the other speech code enforcement, they are not afraid to use those tools.

What do we recon a reasonable number of casualties for the Russians to win and it not be a pyric victory? Russia for example lost about 7,000 in the Second Chechen War. US casualties in the Iraq war added up to about 25,000 dead, 120,000 wounded (US and Iraqi locals). US comparatively lost...

Sure, and that would be one pocket out of, well, at least 3 basically with the fall of Kiev, 4-5 if other pushes win. Advantage of the offensive, and having internal lines is the ability to defeat in detail. Plus, with Kiev taken all ukrainian forces not in Liev would be cut off from much easy...

yeah, the sides themselves probably don't have a good sense of what the casualties are yet: like, depending upon how the paperwork is set up, just the death confirmation (a body makes it to a hospital, a doctor declares officially dead, the body is recognized, and the casualty report gets sents...

Eh, geography matters as well as spirit. The south can have all its pride in the civil war, but once Atlanta was lost, the Confederacy was in a dramatically less tenable position and was close to doomed by that point. What I'm suggesting is something similar to the Civil War: losing Kiev might...

I really did not realize how bad Ukraines geographic position actually is with Belarus taken into account, so used to thinking in terms of a Donbass region fight. You only really have one major town to the left and right between Kiev and the Belarusian boarder, and both paths are less than 200...