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hey, you could also claim we weren't trully an Empire till the Luisiana purchase pushed really started the big territorial expansion. So we actually have until 2053. He does in some parts seem a little overly set to try and get it to exactly fit a 250 year cycle. Still, I'd forgotten about this...

Not to be too much of a downer, I'm sure Brutus thought the same thing. But, the interesting thing about theories of history are: 1) How predictive is the actual model? 2) What the actual mechanism is? 3) How much flex is there in the system? Like, if we said a human lives 75 years 1) It...

Well, the healthy have a great deal of similarity, but they all die in a great multitude of varied ways. I think he made that comparison in the essay that people die a great multitude of ways, but somehow often live about 70 years despite all going out differently. Some have a heart attack and...

Yeah, some of the dates strike me as being a little, arbitrary. Like you said with spain, the end of the Spanish empire I think is more properly 1800, with the nepoleonic invasion. Thats when they properly lost the Empire. You might say they were teetering by the end of the 7 year war as a major...

This is a very interesting essay, that I think is well worth peoples read, and at only 26 pages do not take long, but is packed with information. If you had any interest in the idea of cyclical history, or the suspicion of intellectualism, this is a very good intro and summary of the topic. Even...