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This is a key point I've been making all year. Post Cold War everyone slashed their defense spending, but the Russians retained the advantage of the Soviet inheritance and being a resource superpower:

I've never heard that take before, so can't comment on that angle. I'm definitely of the opinion FDR knew his actions, particularly the oil embargo, were going to trigger a conflict out of Japanese desperation. Likewise, now that Soviet archives have been open for sometime, we are starting to...

I might be misunderstanding the argument, but are you both discussing the FDR foreknowledge debate concerning Pearl Harbor? I can recommend some books if you want.

While I doubt China will become a hyperpower like the U.S. was from 1991 until 2008, the U.S. is very weak at the moment. I'm bullish on China because a nation with a $35,000 GDP per capita and 700 million people in 2100 is at least the equal of the United States.

Not a Petro Yuan, because China has been firm on not wanting to be the Global Reserve currency since the late 2000s because they don't want to deal with Trifflin Dilemma. Instead, it looks like they're moving to use gold as a sort of BANCOR substitute: The above details they're targeting...

So about that:

Already happening: Seriously, that the Price Cap was not going to work was obvious back in September at the absolute latest:

I'm skeptical of a Red Wave changing anything, given a lot of these issues were present and deepened during Trump's term. However, should they get into power and maintain their current trends on seeking to establish a deal on Ukraine, they could be best. Trump Says Ukraine Should Have Done...

Thousands so far.

Things are getting bad out there, everyone. Everyone from basic retail to tech to banking/stocks have either started layoffs or instituting hiring freezes; Wal-Mart in April was literally saying it wanted to hire 50,000 new workers and then by Mid-May had suddenly switched to a hiring freeze...

Kansas is in record drought with associated temperatures, and I don't really see why the PTB would poison 10,000 head of cattle publicly.

The only thing correct in your analysis here is that you are right in that this money will not just line the pockets of MIC here; it'll also line the pockets of Zelensky, his hanger ons, and the blood thirsty psychopaths in groups like Azov, Right Sector, etc. Other than that, completely...