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  1. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Agreed, but the claim was they're not breeding at all. Their TFR is better than all but a few small states in Europe.
  2. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Except that's false: None of the above has to do with your original claim.
  3. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    The claim about Muslim birth rates. As for Post-Collapse Alcoholism, what exactly are the metrics we are judging on that? Alcohol related deaths have plummeted since the 1990s. There is literally zero evidence for this.
  4. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    There's no evidence of this: Again, there's very little to support this: A study has found that the number of sex-selective abortions in China has plummeted since 2010 due to the restrictions of the fertility policy gradually loosening, the slump of fertility desire, and the weakening of...
  5. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Indeed, China has more surveillance capacity than Stalin's USSR has and this enables the State more capability to shut down abortion than the NKVD had back in the day. Except we didn't see abortion bans resulting in this anywhere else.
  6. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    The Stalinist ban successfully reduced abortion by 90% in a context with less State surveillance capabilities. As to whether or not Chinese don’t want to have kids, that doesn’t really matter when they’re having 9 million abortions a year and if this is curtailed via the security forces.
  7. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Further evidence for fertility being selected for along political lines:
  8. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    As I quoted that one Twitter chain above, it's unlikely the CCP will achieve a total abortion ban in effect, but even a 50%-75% reduction (Still less than what Stalin achieved) would still take their TFR from 1.05 to about 1.5 to 1.7 or so. That would put it ahead of just about everyone else in...
  9. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Stalin suppressed abortion for most of his rule and TFR in the USSR shot up: East Germany also had higher fertility than West Germany, as did most of the Warsaw Pact vs NATO:
  10. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Would you consider Xi equal to Stalin?
  11. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Should be fixed now, for some reason the Twitter link didn't want to work. Most of the China collapse stuff, at least from what I've seen, tends to revolve around their demographic issues. Besides mitigation strategies like automation to make up for labor shortfalls, corrective options exist...
  12. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Russia is actually pretty well placed to survive: China, if they can get abortion under control, could fix their demographic issues directly. They’re also mass adopting robotics in a way the West isn’t as a mitigation strategy:
  13. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Actually, I'm intimately familiar with the Old Dominion's politics, especially it's Black voters. If you wish to compare accolades on that, I've dated two Black women from Virginia, my pledge brother at my University was Black Virginian and my Little was Black Virginian. My best friend in my...
  14. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    The numbers show the Black vote went from 89% Democrat to 87% Democrat, a difference of 2% and well within the margin of error of any poll. Further, look at the turnout: 2021 saw a decrease of...2% from 2020, which in of itself can explain the difference in the poll. Youngkin won because he did...
  15. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    There's actual no signs of high fertility groups among Blacks in general or in Virginia in particular. This is because Blacks in America are overwhelmingly urban and showing dramatic declines in religion, which both result in collapsing TFR rates. As for Virginia politics, how do you figure...
  16. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    So, what's the end result of our current demographic crisis? It is eerily similar to that which the Romans underwent, leading to their collapse: And the same dynamics are at play again, in that a secular/pagan world is collapsing and giving way to one in which fertile Christians will be their...
  17. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    There's actually not much evidence for that, in the sum total:
  18. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Biggest difference seems to be on the religious front and resulting earlier marriage patterns, rather than anything economic: Religion also provides protection against those social aliments:
  19. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    Depends on how you measure it, and there's other factors afoot there. The highly educated have the lowest fertility rates, but that's talking about the credentialed; measuring by wealth (success?) does show a serious uptick in fertility, in which wealth functions almost as a U shape with the...
  20. History Learner

    American Political Policy Discussion Thread

    It's been awhile since I posted in here, so I thought I would do some demographics coverage since that's always a major topic of consideration nowadays. 1. White Voters, through fertility selection, are becoming more Right Wing: 2. This is especially true when you control for religion...
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