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The key sticking point being, as you said, historically. You've completely changed the situation around Utah Beach as you noted: Utah Beach is contained to such a degree as to limit the amount of forces that can be deployed prior to the storm, and with the Maisy Battery still in play any...

Personally I think the political angle is being severely under-counted. A shift of ~2.5% in votes to Dewey is enough to flip the election to him via the Electoral College, resulting in a map like this: This could be important, as the war time low of American opinion polling was the Spring of...