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  1. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    .... how does wiping out the main cities in a country where it’s production come from have no detterent value. You do realize how nuclear war works right? That is literally what we do in a mad scenario, cripple a countries ability to continue functioning.
  2. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Taiwan presumably, they do have missiles capable of hitting it, and since they don’t have nukes it would work as a limited MAD scenario.
  3. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Yeah which I pointed out later on, thing is in Taiwan’s case if they get invaded them it would make sense as a target, think of it like a budget version of MAD.
  4. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    I mean the soft target for China is the three gorges dam. Blow that, and you wipe out a number of major cities.
  5. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Yeah his geopolitics has usually been good, but as you said his actual predictions on politics have been very bad. In effect it seems like he thinks even when the US leaves the rest of the world is going to continue obeying the system apart from minor things, whereas most of his "unsolvable"...
  6. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Ehh i am seeing the opposite they are trying to accumulate gold. And the sanctions haven't really mattered since india and China have both said they aren't doing it.
  7. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    What did it say, can't watch right now
  8. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Because if they don't act now they will never be able to
  9. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    They do, they consider it a weakness.
  10. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    I mean to be fair during the sino-soviet split the soviets did ask the other major powers if anyone would be to perturbed if they nuked Beijing
  11. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Yes but keeping them low is the response to a weak economy, again I think government control of interest rates has been terrible, but anyone Who thinks our economy is in a good shape, well I have a bridge I want to sell them
  12. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Ehh doubt it, if the US raises interest rates, the stock market will crash. Granted it will crash anyway due to the economy now being held together by duct tape and hope, but intentionally causing an economic crisis while the social fabric is as frayed as it is now, is a completely stupid idea...
  13. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Again, it is more a matter of them not caring whether he knows. What is he going to do, claim the army is ignoring him. That wouldn’t end well. And the trade war wasn’t the factor I was referring to, the MIC would be more do things like send ships to the South China Sea, and more straight...
  14. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Again they wanted an enemy. You can’t convince people to give up freedom without a threat, there is a reason the CIA were the last people to accept the Soviet Union was collapsing.
  15. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Nah, they don’t really care about that. If anything this has been great since it removed tons of opposition to the security state. There are two factors I think. 1. The Cold War was great for them, more and more power and prestige, they want that back, Russia is a joke, but China works for a...
  16. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Not quite, while Biden himself has corrupt dealings with China, the MIC is clear that they aren’t fond of them. Biden would be ignored, like they ignored trump when he wanted out of Syria. Take a look at how while the bureaucrats ignore trump normally but actions against China have been carried...
  17. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    He was in the Jiang zemin faction, since he was the party head when Jack ma became rich, this means he has always been Xi’s enemy. And screwing him over is something xi’s followers will do to curry favor.
  18. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    Given the group who were complaining weren’t evangelicals they were Episcopalians, for anyone who doesn’t know Episcopalians are left wing already, so the chunk of evangelicals who the republicans win weren’t offended at all, and wouldn’t care about the photo op. the thing is his background was...
  19. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    His argument is that the Chinese can’t really give anymore to them, so the dems will turn on them, espescially since the mob hates them as well. Conflict with China is the opportunity for the largest power grab in history, there is no way they would let that opportunity pass them by.
  20. Floridaman

    peter Zeihan 2020

    as a reminder Cherico, we are only supposed to post summaries.
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