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I seem to recall reading stuff saying that mainland puerto-ricans were more split than other hispanics except cubans a while back yeah.

With recent economic news and depending who the Primary picks I think his reelection is at least unlikely.

I was reffering to the Puerto Rican community in the broader US (more specifically Miami and New York which have large populations) Puerto Rico itself is another matter altogether. (I'd say they'd lean democrat if they became a state, but similar to African-Americans thats more because the...

Puerto Ricans WERE Republican leaning. The Hurricane Maria's aftermath happened and boy howdy that changed fast.

Generally I see polls putting him at about 80% overall disaproval from Afro-american communiities, and something like 60% from hispanic communities. Given his, shall we say, reticent attitude about condeming white nationalism, it may well drop further.

Except he can't convince any of those people. Those people are the ones who hate him the most.

Eh I think we'll just have to agree to disagree on most of what was said but this? The words "haha, no" come to mind. Trump is about as likely to scrape up significant Dem support as Steve f*cking King. He's alienated minorities in their entirety, White suburbanites in similar numbers, and just...

K ima adress the 2 important P's. For Bernie? I honestly think thats untrue. Not the over 50's vote part, he's unlikely to score a full victory in that to be sure. Everything else though reads like what Republicans think he says vs what he's actually said. Alot of his core policies have become...

I'm not reffering to whatever the market has been saying. I'm refering to the yield of US 10 year bonds dropping below that of 2 year bonds. That right there? Thats an indicator that people really don't know WTF the future holds, and coincidentally is also linked to every major recession in...

I mean for Biden you might have a point with those. Of the candidates who can win the dem primary I think he's the most vulnerable. But Bernie? Man is practically made for swinging PA and a few other key states, Warren to a lesser extent as well, and Buttgieg is basically Biden without some of...

Most political analysts put it at 50/50 depending on factors. That giant recession coming up? Makes me think it might less than 50/50 for the reelection. Still, early days yet and we don't even know his competitor so a solid guess is impossible.

Truthfully Trump winning at all in 2020 is, well, unlikely.