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I don't disagree that there's a lot of room for things to go wrong when we're playing with nukes. That said, if Mac gets to drop the bombs and they don't work, I think escalation - ie. him getting even more nukes - is more likely than Truman backing down and basically going 'hmm yeah I guess...

Mac might've gotten at most nine nukes in 1951, when he wanted 50-60. Also it's not entirely clear how wide the scope of the American plans for nuclear bombings were - it might have been as 'limited' as just NK and the Chinese side of the Yalu (as Mac supposedly explained to Eisenhower in 1952)...