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The first major butterfly a living Albert - a regent for his institutionalised father - could have on history is during the Zebrzydowski Rokosz (rebellion). The rebels "deposed" Zygmunt III (not that anybody noticed or cared about their act) and were fishing around for a substitute ruler. Here...

Maybe. But a major driver - Royal Prussia laying BETWEEN two main holdings - does not exist. I suppose that if the Prussian male Hohenzollerns die out before c.1730 AND the PLC allows a Brandenburg-Prussia union, then we still get the Silesian Wars and 7YW and their aftermath leading to the...

In OTL 1618 the Electorate (Kurfeurstum) Brandenburg and the Duchy (Herzogtum) Prussia unite under single ruler. Because reasons. One (major) reason being this dude: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albert_Frederick,_Duke_of_Prussia not leaving living sons. Let us imagine his eldest son - in OTL...