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A good point raised by @raharris1973 on another site - there could be Chinese freeebooters puttting "free enterprise" ideas into action (probably Japanese as well, maybe even Korean too?), setting up their own statelets all over the Pacific area.

@ATP - silver matters more than gold. While the Mediterranean Basin always has been bi-metallic, the Sinosphere has been silvercentric since time immemorial. Both the Japanese (and Chinese) mindset and realities of Far Eastern economies mean that gold is of much lesser concern.

I wonder how much of the Murata rifle was imported. I know that it was manufactured in Japan, but "manufactured" is a vague term. E.g. the Union in the ACW manufactured rifles from Brtish made steel ... same could apply here. Maybe falling back on black powder for several decades? Probably no...

25 years earlier - same. But by 1888 I guess that Japan was changing. No inflow of Western know-how, naturally, but a new mindset had already set in?

Yeah, Chinese and Korean leadrship does not give a fuck. "Good days are back to stay" - why change anything?