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It's not going to take the Spanish 50 years to send expeditions around Australia. Unless the Spanish get really badly delayed in Newfoundland and completely neglect to go around Australia to the south there's not going to be much delay. A major expedition sets out ever 2-3 years on averages...

Spain didn't set out to find the first landmass they could conquer, they set out to find a route to India and China. They're going to see that Australia isn't China and look for routes around it and, lo and behold, it's something small they can go around not some massive wall of rock running...

My money's on nearly nonexistent. Australia'd be right where most Hurricanes form. Some might make it past the fang looking peninsulas at what becomes south Australia but all the tracks down there seem to hit the Yucatan. Good news for Florida and the Carolinas is bad news for Madagascar...