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Had he managed to become the Holy Roman Emperor, perhaps. But by 16th century, Hungary simply didn't have resources to compete with the Ottoman Empire, even with a king like Matthias at the helm. And Jagellons, while not exactly incompetent, were a far cry from Matthias himself.

Eh, winters in the Balkans could be quite harsh as well. But yes, Hungarians tended to try and exploit this Ottoman tendency, by focusing on winter-time sieges of fortified places. Habsburgs later continued this strategy: (Book is From Nicopolis to Mohacs, pg.449 - 450).

It definitely is a possibility, seeing how a war did ensure between Ferdinand I and John Zapolya following the Battle of Mohacs. And Croatian nobility was somewhat close to Habsburgs, so yes, we might end up breaking off. Not sure campaign season matters - in fact, Hungarian armies tended to...

Maximilian is who I thought about in the first place. He had assisted Croatia against Ottomans previously, so that made him a reatively strong contender.

What if Hungary and Croatia elected Habsburgs for kings after Matthias Corvinus died, instead of going for Jagellons as historically?