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1.Optymist,somebody would be stupid enough to start war.German certainly wanted provoke it before Russia get too strong,and Russians really belived that they could finish war in few months. And,if they were smart tkanks to some miracle,England would provoke war to weaken everybody,they always...

Possible,but since verybody and his dog belived in "short,victorious war" bullshit,WW1 would still happen,only later. And,becouse Russia would be stronger then,Allies woud still win ,and Bulgary lost. But...if Russia do not fall to revolution,we would have Europe under tsars.Well,shit. Still...

Not much.No second balcan war,and Turkey never enter WW1. Allies would win more easily. No Turkey entering WW1 - no armenian genocide. Aside from that - notching change,A-H still lost,just like Bugary - but,they keep at least turkish territories here. Slighty smaller Turkey and slighty bigger...