peter Zeihan 2020

Japan wants in AUKUS, but has 3 problems: culture - need to have military culture that's more assertive and takes initiative, experience - need to get more experience after decades of pacifism and end of GWOT, cybersecurity - didn't invest in information control (and probably because they're dinosaurs when it comes to tech) and are leaky AF:
 
Surprising, isn't Japan one of the most advanced in the world?
In tech, sure; in cyber-security to go with said tech...not sure that the mindset for good cybersecurity operations is something that Japan has a lot of, because you need the right mix of paranoid, suspicious, watchful, and willing to call out issues for it to work.

And Japanese work culture is not something that really fosters said mentality, because you have to be able to tell the boss he's fucking up badly if you want good cybersecurity, and that's something Japanese culture's ancestor/elder worship/reverence is likely to get in the way of.
 
Surprising, isn't Japan one of the most advanced in the world?
Eh, while their tech is advanced in certain areas, most people in Japan are surprisingly tech illiterate. Computer usage is still seen as a niche hobby over there, and only a comparative handful of people know much about them.
 
Surprising, isn't Japan one of the most advanced in the world?
In tech, sure
Eh, while their tech is advanced in certain areas, most people in Japan are surprisingly tech illiterate. Computer usage is still seen as a niche hobby over there, and only a comparative handful of people know much about them.
Yeah, Japan's problem is that their tech literacy is weirdly fucking awful, while their ability to design/make tech is pretty good.

Like, prior to COVID, they didn't allow remote work at all for a lot of office jobs, when remote work would do a lot to solve their problems with packing everything into Tokyo.
 
Yeah, Japan's problem is that their tech literacy is weirdly fucking awful, while their ability to design/make tech is pretty good.

Like, prior to COVID, they didn't allow remote work at all for a lot of office jobs, when remote work would do a lot to solve their problems with packing everything into Tokyo.
The Japanese don't like changing how they do anything, for pretty much any reason. For example; part of the reason consumer goods are so expensive over there is because of a number of obsolete middleman positions that have existed since the feudal era, yet serve no purpose in the modern day, that regardless have to be paid off before the product can reach store shelves.
 
In tech, sure; in cyber-security to go with said tech...not sure that the mindset for good cybersecurity operations is something that Japan has a lot of, because you need the right mix of paranoid, suspicious, watchful, and willing to call out issues for it to work.

And Japanese work culture is not something that really fosters said mentality, because you have to be able to tell the boss he's fucking up badly if you want good cybersecurity, and that's something Japanese culture's ancestor/elder worship/reverence is likely to get in the way of.

Eh, while their tech is advanced in certain areas, most people in Japan are surprisingly tech illiterate. Computer usage is still seen as a niche hobby over there, and only a comparative handful of people know much about them.

Yeah, Japan's problem is that their tech literacy is weirdly fucking awful, while their ability to design/make tech is pretty good.

Like, prior to COVID, they didn't allow remote work at all for a lot of office jobs, when remote work would do a lot to solve their problems with packing everything into Tokyo.
Huh, my only experience with asiatic cultures is from my time in Korea
japan isnt a nascent police state like the anglophone world is becoming, so they dont have a vast cybersecurity apparatus that was built to spy on its own population yet.
Japan is a country that is guilty till proven innocent.
Yes we have issues here in the west, but we arnt a police state.

Cybersecurity is something that countries have to prevent nations from spying on them.
But you immediately jump to conclusions because to you, if the west does it, bad, if any other nation east does it, good.
 



Essentially for structural reasons interests rate will go up.

For those of us who actually save money that's a good thing.
 
most of the inflation is covid related? this guy is fucked in the head. it's 2024 and the vax is out for 3 years.

he thinks Cali is going to make a comeback. pure cope.

this guy has had a brain worm eat part of his brain and then starve to death I think. He doesn't seem to grasp why this shit has been happening. only has a vague direction of things will get worse and the acceptable thing to blame is X.

Ignoring all the international conflict generated from putting Joe Biden's ass in office and his immediate executive order spree that just fucked us on energy, immigration and other things just to try and say it was all COVID is just either willfully trying to bury the truth or idiocy at this point.
 
most of the inflation is covid related? this guy is fucked in the head. it's 2024 and the vax is out for 3 years.

he thinks Cali is going to make a comeback. pure cope.

this guy has had a brain worm eat part of his brain and then starve to death I think. He doesn't seem to grasp why this shit has been happening. only has a vague direction of things will get worse and the acceptable thing to blame is X.

Ignoring all the international conflict generated from putting Joe Biden's ass in office and his immediate executive order spree that just fucked us on energy, immigration and other things just to try and say it was all COVID is just either willfully trying to bury the truth or idiocy at this point.
He's just no good at taking the impact political ideology has on economics into account.
 


TL;DW:
A lot of the Sahel states are barely functioning with US/French assistance due to geography and other issues, they'll becomes stateless systems, Russia getting involved in coups, Nigeria might get involved and they don't take shit from anyone.

Russia is losing influence from areas that border them while projecting into Africa, making US and French focus on Ukraine, Turkey focusing on the Caucuses, terrorists can operate without issues unless Nigeria gets involved, Nigeria has more troops than the coup belt. If they get serious and have tacit western support, they can be the first African super power.
 


TL;DW:
A lot of the Sahel states are barely functioning with US/French assistance due to geography and other issues, they'll becomes stateless systems, Russia getting involved in coups, Nigeria might get involved and they don't take shit from anyone.

Russia is losing influence from areas that border them while projecting into Africa, making US and French focus on Ukraine, Turkey focusing on the Caucuses, terrorists can operate without issues unless Nigeria gets involved, Nigeria has more troops than the coup belt. If they get serious and have tacit western support, they can be the first African super power.


Im fine with the nigerian empire.
 
I can think of many, many worse outcomes for Africa and humanity as whole than Nigeria becoming the African Superpower, and dealing with it's local neighborhood in ways only locals can.

and look at it this way if they become the princes of africa they can finally pay people back all of the money they owe.
 

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