Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Michael Kofman offered a twenty plus Tweet Thread Analysis of the Recent Events That Have Occurred in the War over the last few weeks with a large focus on the fighting in the Donb Ass and specifically the Severodonestsk Pocket and how far Russia maybe able to push back Ukraine over the Summer and Joe this may continue to be an Incremental Attritional War. Pretty good read!



First Allegedly Documented Use of British Donated LMM Martlett Missiles Used against a Russian Ka-52 Alligator Gunship.



Ukrainian AHS Krab 155mm SPGs from Poland in Service Fighting the Russians in the East of the Country.



Ukrainian Convoy with Apparently New Looking Armored Humvees Heading to the Frontlines.



Russian Wagner Mercenaries Posting With a Sledgehammer in Kherson, Allegedly Referencing and Infamous Moment in this PMCs history when Wagner Mercs Tortured a Syrian Army Deserter to Death Utilizing a Sledgehammer.

 

VictortheMonarch

Victor the Crusader
Yeah using Soviet era AntiShip missiles in a Land Attack role.



I guess the radar homing seekers can't lock onto factories as well as Aircraft Carriers at sea. Weird. Apparently only hit the edge of the factory park in question as well.

Honestly seems as if they were aiming for the factory, and one missile vered off course. Though I wouldn't discount the possibility that some crazed Russians decided to simply kill a bunch of Ukrainians. We've seen some fucked up soldiers, from the serial killers to the baby rapist.
 

AnimalNoodles

Well-known member
Honestly seems as if they were aiming for the factory, and one missile vered off course. Though I wouldn't discount the possibility that some crazed Russians decided to simply kill a bunch of Ukrainians. We've seen some fucked up soldiers, from the serial killers to the baby rapist.

They arent going to waste a missile on the off chance they can kill some random people. It was either a missile that went off course, or they suspect that the mall was being used for other purposes.
 

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
Honestly seems as if they were aiming for the factory, and one missile vered off course. Though I wouldn't discount the possibility that some crazed Russians decided to simply kill a bunch of Ukrainians. We've seen some fucked up soldiers, from the serial killers to the baby rapist.
Those kossles have like a 300m area.
As in they hit in a 300m general area.
Don't fire on things if you are sure you can't hit the military target
 

Megadeath

Well-known member
They arent going to waste a missile on the off chance they can kill some random people. It was either a missile that went off course, or they suspect that the mall was being used for other purposes.
Yeah... They used a pair of shitty, mission inappropriate missiles for the strike. Because they used obsolescent missiles intended for a different role, one was a partial success in that it hit the outskirts of the target. The other was well off target, resulting in needless and unacceptable murder of civilians. Well, unacceptable to everyone except the Russian government.

They had to use such inappropriate weapons, and therefore achieve very limited success at such a cost, because they're scraping the bottom of the barrel. They're basically launching anything with a rocket engine on one end and an explosive warhead on the other. This stands in stark contrast to the claims nato are basically out of weapons, despite each successive support package giving more and more. Sure, some nato countries are low on certain systems that are being replaced in their role. They aren't reduced to giving ukraine antiship missiles for ground strikes though!
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
UK Officials Estimate Russia has Suffered 25,000 Killed in their Special Military Operation.



The Drone Downed Over Kursk was Potentially a Soviet era Tu-143 Modified as a Kamikaze Drone.



Russia's Lack of Use of Precision Guided Missiles for Precision Strikes Will Result in Russia Inflicting More Civilian Casualties.



German and Dutch PzH2000 SPG's Already in the Donbass Area Operating.



Norway and United Kingdom will Cooperate on Donating Three more Modern M270 MLRS to Ukraine with Norway backfilling British stocks with Launchers that Require Modernization.

 

Bacle

When the effort is no longer profitable...
Founder


Important thread; a foreign legion fighter detailing the real issues on the ground for the people fighting, and it seems the corruption in Ukraine has not been fully purged.

Also, it seems leadership in Ukraine has had some bad OPSEC issues with regard to the foreign legion as well.

This guy is still there, has been there for a while, and put's forth concrete ideas of how to fix things. His main suggestion is to place the foreign legion under the direct command of the Ukrainian Marines, to simplify logistics and command structures.
 

History Learner

Well-known member
Biden officials privately doubt that Ukraine can win back all of its territory

(CNN)White House officials are losing confidence that Ukraine will ever be able to take back all of the land it has lost to Russia over the past four months of war, US officials told CNN, even with the heavier and more sophisticated weaponry the US and its allies plan to send.​
Advisers to President Joe Biden have begun debating internally how and whether Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky should shift his definition of a Ukrainian "victory" -- adjusting for the possibility that his country has shrunk irreversibly.​
US officials emphasized to CNN that this more pessimistic assessment does not mean the US plans to pressure Ukraine into making any formal territorial concessions to Russia in order to end the war. There is also hope that Ukrainian forces will be able to take back significant chunks of territory in a likely counteroffensive later this year.​
A congressional aide familiar with the deliberations told CNN that a smaller Ukrainian state is not inevitable. "Whether Ukraine can take back these territories is in large part, if not entirely, a function of how much support we give them," the aide said. He noted that Ukraine has formally asked the US for a minimum of 48 multiple launch rocket systems, but to date has only been promised eight from the Pentagon.​
And not everyone in the administration is as worried -- some believe Ukrainian forces could again defy expectations, as they did in the early days of the war when they repelled a Russian advance on the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv. National security adviser Jake Sullivan has remained highly engaged with his Ukrainian counterparts and spent hours on the phone last week discussing Ukrainian efforts to recapture territory with Ukraine's defense chief and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley, officials familiar with the call told CNN.​
The growing pessimism comes as Biden is meeting with US allies in Europe, where he will try to convey strength and optimism about the trajectory of the war as he rallies leaders to stay committed to arming and supporting Ukraine amid the brutal fight.​
"We have to stay together. Putin has been counting on from the beginning, that somehow NATO and the G7 would splinter, but we haven't and we're not going to," Biden said Sunday while at the G7 summit in the Bavarian Alps.​
The administration announced another $450 million in security assistance to Ukraine last week, including additional rocket launch systems, artillery ammunition and patrol boats. The US is also expected to announce as soon as this week that it has purchased an advanced surface-to-air missile defense system, called a NASAMS, for Ukrainian forces. Biden indicated in an op-ed earlier this month that he is committed to helping Ukraine gain the upper hand on the battlefield so that it has leverage in negotiations with Russia.​
The mood has shifted over the last several weeks, though, as Ukraine has struggled to repel Russia's advances in the Donbas and has suffered staggering troop losses, reaching as many as 100 soldiers per day. Ukrainian forces are also burning through their equipment and ammunition faster than the West can provide and train them on new, NATO-standard weapons systems.​
A US military official and a source familiar with Western intelligence agreed it was unlikely that Ukraine would be able to mass the force necessary to reclaim all of the territory lost to Russia during the fighting -- especially this year, as Zelensky said on Monday was his goal. A substantial counteroffensive might be possible with more weapons and training, the sources said, but Russia may also have an opportunity to replenish its force in that time, so there are no guarantees.​
 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Financial Times Investigation of Russia's Illegal Grain Smuggling Occurring Because of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine.



Lysychansk, just West of Severodonetsk, is Being Gradually Encircled by Russian Forces.



Alleged battery of Russian Self Propelled Guns Reportedly Taken Out by Ukrainian M777 Counter Battery Fire.



First Batch of Fifteen German Gepards Will Be Arriving in Ukraine in July Reportedly. A total of thirty will be sent at the moment. It's believed that Brazil helped make this happen by offering to sell stocks of ammunition to Germany for Ukrainian use when Switzerland refused to.



Private Donations Have Allowed the first dozen Leyland DAF 45.150 Cargo Trucks to be Sent to Ukraine from the UK. More shipments are expected.

 
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Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
Canada stated at the NATO Summit they are sending Ukraine 39 of their new Armored Combat Support Vehicles Based on the LAV 6.0 Platform.



Snake Island Littered with Destroyed Russian Vehicles and Structures.



CONFIRMED! Russia Has Shot Down A Thousand Bayraktar Drones.



Pentagon Wants to Send Arm Monitors to Ukraine. I'm sure there's no way this can be misinterpreted or backfire.



Inflation has increased the cost of avoiding Mobilization in the Seperatist Republics from $2000 to $20000 allegedly.

 

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
Canada stated at the NATO Summit they are sending Ukraine 39 of their new Armored Combat Support Vehicles Based on the LAV 6.0 Platform.



Snake Island Littered with Destroyed Russian Vehicles and Structures.



CONFIRMED! Russia Has Shot Down A Thousand Bayraktar Drones.



Pentagon Wants to Send Arm Monitors to Ukraine. I'm sure there's no way this can be misinterpreted or backfire.



Inflation has increased the cost of avoiding Mobilization in the Seperatist Republics from $2000 to $20000 allegedly.


To add to this.
Only 300 Bayaktars have been made, and only 60 to Ukraine
 

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