Middle East News Thread

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
More than the United States, no, but relative to where the balance of power was in the 1980s, without a doubt. Iran has developed pretty strong missile capacity, as the DIA notes:

To achieve its goals, Iran continues to rely on its unconventional warfare elements and asymmetric capabilities—​
intended to exploit the perceived weaknesses of a superior adversary—to provide deterrence and project power.​
This combination of lethal conventional capabilities and proxy forces poses a persistent threat. The Islamic​
Revolutionary Guard Corps Qods Force leads Iranian power projection through a complex network of state and​
nonstate partners and militant proxies. Iran’s conventional military emphasizes niche capabilities and guerilla-​
style tactics against its technologically advanced adversaries. Its substantial arsenal of ballistic missiles is​
designed to overwhelm U.S. forces and our partners in the region. Its swarms of small boats, large inventory of​
naval mines, and arsenal of antiship missiles can severely disrupt maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz—a​
strategic chokepoint critical to global trade. Each of these forces are becoming increasingly survivable, precise,​
and responsive​

And their drone capabilities are very strong, as demonstrated by them repeatedly piercing U.S. air defenses for CBGs since 2016.
Again, you are acting as a propagandist. Overinterpreting the "plz give more funding" texts of western MIC, and saying Baghdad Bob worthy things like "haha stupid westerners don't shoot at Iran's drones in international waters, it has to be because they can't, not because they aren't at war".
How do you stop a cheeky country from "piercing air defenses" of your ships in international waters without you know, committing an act of war?
Even a Maltese crop duster can pierce a CVBG's air defenses if no one wants a diplomatic incident.

And yet, you initiated this dialogue and the last three before it. When you didn't get your way each time, you claimed I wasn't worth your time and yet...here you are again. The lack of consistency is noticeable, so why the fakery? You're under no obligation to reply to me on this forum, nonwithstanding your moderator functions.
In military parlance "free play" means a bit different thing than you think it does, it's not a good topic for notorious word gamers. If you read the article i linked you would even have the same guy explain it to you.
Q: Will there ever be an opportunity to really exercise these concepts and have more free play?


Kernan: Yeah, I think to a degree. I mean, you got to be careful about the word "free play." And I used it, and I wished I hadn't, because we do free play. We do free thinking. But once again, as with all the things I've done throughout my training, there's always been certain constraints. There's environmental constraints. There's areas in which you can fire and you can't fire. There is times in which you can use certain platforms and not use certain platforms. So there's always constraints that you have to weave around. And then there's the time constraint and the availability of troops.


Yes, I think what we can do is we can first of all recognize that some of these things are going to take a little bit more time. One of the advantages you have with simulation, quite honestly, is you're not bound by that and you can stretch out the time line. And if you -- and if something doesn't work, you stop, you re-cock, you turn the rheostat back, you make your assessment, you go back and you redo it. That's the way we would prefer to do an awful lot of these concept experimentations, is look at it from a simulation perspective because you're not wasting a lot of the troop's time and you can redo it time and again until you get all the data that you need. But recognizing how long some of these things take will also give us an opportunity to experiment better in the future.



You seem to not realize the Blue Team was 350 people and OPFOR/Red Team was just 90; it wasn't like they were running entire divisions. The wargame was partly simulated and things like NOTAMs exist for the live action portion.
Get your fucking brain working. That refers only to the people running the simulation portion. Obviously not the live exercise with ships and shit, you wouldn't crew more than a few of small ones with those numbers.
Again, if you would just read the stuff you quote, you wouldn't be saying this stupid shit:
The exercise was mandated by Congress to “explore critical war fighting challenges at the operational level of war that will confront United States joint military forces after 2010.” Developed over two years at a cost of $250 million, it would grow to include 13,500 service members participating from 17 simulation locations and nine live-force training sites.
I think that's a bit more than 350...

And you do realize that NOTAMs aren't magic, and USA is not North Korea?
If US military is going to ask for NOTAMs for days blocking off major airports, they probably aren't going to get them approved.

Here you go:

Van Riper had participated in previous war games for JFCOM, including the previous year’s Unified Vision 2001 exercise in which he played the role of a landlocked regional power. At one crucial engagement during Unified Vision 2001, Van Riper was informed by the white cell, or “control,” overseeing the game that the United States had destroyed all 21 of the red team’s deeply buried ballistic missiles, even though the blue team commander never actually knew where they were located. It was simply assumed that in the future the United States would have the real-time radar and sensor capabilities to eliminate them. After the Unified Vision 2001 exercise, JFCOM provided a report to Congress that claimed that the exercise had corroborated the effects-based operations concepts. When Van Riper complained that that was untrue, he was promised, regarding MC ’02, that “next year will be a free play and honest exercise.” On the eve of MC ’02, Kernan even declared: “We have a very, very determined OPFOR, both live and simulation. … this is free play. The OPFOR has the ability to win here.”



The fact that exists only in your head, and was directly called out in the Pentagon report:

The reaction to the leak was swift. Senior JFCOM and Pentagon officials were livid that the retired lieutenant general had blown the whistle on MC ’02. They emphasized in press conferences that every major concept had been validated (there were 11 in total), while discounting what the OPFOR had been able to pull off. Kernan, who called Van Riper “a pretty slick fellow,” claimed that the exercise was not about winning or losing, despite contrary statements he had made weeks earlier. Kernan also admitted: “You [have] got to be careful about the word ‘free play.’ And I used it, and I wished I hadn’t.” Vice Adm. Martin Mayer, Kernan’s deputy, claimed, “I want to disabuse anybody of any notion that somehow the books were cooked.” Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Peter Pace declared flatly, “I absolutely believe that it was not rigged.”​
Yet, JFCOM itself later concluded the opposite. The final JFCOM report on MC ’02 ran 752 pages long and was not released to the public for 10 years. The report detailed how the OPFOR had initially caught the blue team off guard, in large part because the blue team stuck closely to well-known and practiced U.S. military tactics. Moreover, to the extent that the blue team was perceived to be the winner, it was predominantly due to its quantitatively and qualitatively superior military capabilities. Meanwhile, the report admitted significant limitations and artificialities that were built into the war game. It also details the unexpected shifts in the rules of engagement early on. According to the report, “These changes brought about some confusion and potentially provided the blue team operational advantages.”​
Finally, the JFCOM report explicitly acknowledged:​

As the exercise progressed, the OPFOR free-play was eventually constrained to the point where the end state was scripted. This scripting ensured a blue team operational victory and established conditions in the exercise for transition operations.​
And this shit is exactly why Pentagon doesn't like releasing this kind of stuff. People as "smart" as you will take them, hang onto a few words, and use that to make whatever political conclusion they need to.
No, until we have holodecks we will never have perfect 1:1 simulations, especially with live elements.
Except I cited an entire article going over a documented incident in 2008 showing the Iranians doing as Riper had been able to do in MC02.
Oh i think if it was the same it would be called a war, not an incident. And US Navy small boat officers being bad at navigation and their commanders higher ups, bad at escalation policy has little in common with that exercise.


While I commend you for openly attacking them based on their race instead of seeking to couch it in other terms, specifically, we were talking about their air defenses, not their armies in general. Your general characterization is wrong on that front as well, but I'll leave that aside to focus in on the point: if the training and the equipment is the same, what is the difference?
Arabs are a culture, not a race, bucko... And unless you have a Skynet hidden in your basement somewhere, air defenses have to be operated by people. And it's not a simple job, it's more advanced air traffic control plus electromagnetic warfare and basic rocket science. If your military is organized like shit, and recruits are selected according to politics rather than qualification (and they really would have to struggle to find qualified ones), no amount of training is going to make them good (and they need far more training than just few US courses, hint hint), and even if they did, if the officers above them suck, and they usually do, that is worth only so much.
By your logic USA could have destroyed the Soviet Union just like it went through Iraq, because Soviet instructors trained Iraqi military and sold them gear.


Indeed, which is why you should know your original point is a non-starter:



Expecting the enemy to operate under the confines you place on it is rather foolish; as the old saying goes, they get a vote too.
So you are saying there is an enemy, and Iran should have been getting bombed since years. If that is so, i agree, USA should have had far more aggressive policy towards punishing irregular action by rogue states.


Good thing I didn't argue that. What I did say is that Iran possesses the capabilities to inflict heavy losses upon the United States; read the DIA report I linked to earlier, if you want to see what the U.S. assessment is.
US assessment is: "plz more funding, or losses *might* happen".

In other words, exactly as everyone else?

Nor for the United States, hence why we have always strove to avoid conflict with them.
Wow, is the US political establishment paying you to write this shit? You really think it's not because the whole civil service and most of political class are cucks who fear what CNN will do to them over an escalation with Iran, it's because Iran is becoming a superpower and US military doesn't really have the ability to fight them easily so really all the bullshit Obama did in that regard was totally rational avoidance of a conflict that would be lost.
Did you register as a Democrat yet?

And said individuals, and the institutions at large, took an oath to the Constitution to defend it against both domestic and foreign enemies; that they've avoided doing anything about it then takes us back to the characterization I said. Your argument is, when distilled, that they are cowards in one way, shape or form.

OR, you can take the exact tact I'm spelled out here; they're not cowards, nor is it a problem of our political class being insufficiently hawkish (lol, after 20 years of GWOT), but rather that our restraint is based on rational cost-benefit analysis of the costs of such engagement. If you read the DIA report, which is the end work of one of our main uniformed intelligence agencies, you see it's exactly as I present.
Yeah, i don't think the leftists in US administrations care about oaths and shit, what do you think they are, vikings, knights, samurai? No, they are leftists, and for them letting hostile foreign powers get away with shit they shouldn't is a feature, not a bug.
 

History Learner

Well-known member
Again, you are acting as a propagandist. Overinterpreting the "plz give more funding" texts of western MIC

Okay, then what sources are actually valid in your view? Somehow DIA assessments are just calls for more funding, news reports are dismissed, etc; you're essentially seeking to, as I said before, create an unfalsifiable argument. That is by definition bad faith and makes further argument between us pointless; you won't accept any reasoning or resources that go contrary to your world view, however lacking in objectivity as it is.

, and saying Baghdad Bob worthy things like "haha stupid westerners don't shoot at Iran's drones in international waters, it has to be because they can't, not because they aren't at war".
How do you stop a cheeky country from "piercing air defenses" of your ships in international waters without you know, committing an act of war?
Even a Maltese crop duster can pierce a CVBG's air defenses if no one wants a diplomatic incident.

For one, I never actually said that and I challenge you to quote me where I did. Second, it's weird blowing up the commander of the Quds Force is fine but shooting down unmanned drones next to carriers is a step too far? We can snatch and grab Iranian ships in international waters, but we can't protect our own Navy? None of this logically makes sense when given more than a moment of thinking.

In military parlance "free play" means a bit different thing than you think it does, it's not a good topic for notorious word gamers. If you read the article i linked you would even have the same guy explain it to you.

I did read the article you posted and then demonstrated the individual in question lied. His words before the wargame contradict his later statements, said later statements noted the use of the word freeplay is exactly as I stated and the Pentagon report after the fact also confirms exactly as I said. Simply put, the guy lied and was seeking to cover his own ass after the reports leaked to the media in 2002 and since.

Next, the entire purpose of the war game was to demonstrate the value of technology that didn't even exist yet and the military was seeking to get money for its procurement. Why are you being a propagandist and running cover for a guy who was seeking to get more funding for the military? Be logically consistent in your assessments.

Get your fucking brain working. That refers only to the people running the simulation portion. Obviously not the live exercise with ships and shit, you wouldn't crew more than a few of small ones with those numbers.
Again, if you would just read the stuff you quote, you wouldn't be saying this stupid shit:

I think that's a bit more than 350...

No, the number refers to the total amount of people involved and split up at 17 simulation sites around the world. As the report I cited and you quoted directly notes:

The featured activity of MC ’02 would be a red team war-game simulation. The hypothetical joint experiment would feature an anti-access, area-denial scenario that was situated in the world of 2007, pitting a U.S. blue team of 350 personnel led by Army Lt. Gen. B. B. Bell against an OPFOR of 90 personnel modeling an adversary, and initially led by Van Riper. Kernan personally selected Van Riper to lead the OPFOR, believing that, since he was a “devious sort of guy” and “a no-nonsense solid professional warfighter,” he was the best possible candidate.​

Perhaps you should take the time to actually read the article?

And you do realize that NOTAMs aren't magic, and USA is not North Korea?
If US military is going to ask for NOTAMs for days blocking off major airports, they probably aren't going to get them approved.

Good thing they weren't near any major airports, then, and NOTAMs are issued by the Federal Government and have to be observed by civilian aviation anyway.

And this shit is exactly why Pentagon doesn't like releasing this kind of stuff. People as "smart" as you will take them, hang onto a few words, and use that to make whatever political conclusion they need to.
No, until we have holodecks we will never have perfect 1:1 simulations, especially with live elements.

Noticeably, this did not include any sort of rebuttal and attempted to, once again, create an unfalsifiable argument. If you want to throw out MC02, I noted in an earlier post that is fine; there is more than enough real world evidence since then to back it up.

Oh i think if it was the same it would be called a war, not an incident. And US Navy small boat officers being bad at navigation and their commanders higher ups, bad at escalation policy has little in common with that exercise.

Taking that at face value, that rather then suggests fighting Iran would be very difficult if those problems are institutional as you note? That's a major hole in your thesis; if U.S. sailors are that bad at operating and their officer corps is that poor, then those systematic issues will lead to real world ramifications in terms of their performance.

You can't have it both ways, Marduk. To find the answer, and to eliminate the "bad escalation policy" idea, you might find it useful to actually read about the incident and how they used live ammo.

Arabs are a culture, not a race, bucko...

That's an interesting thing to claim, given you made no mention of their culture and Arab is an ethnic identity.

And unless you have a Skynet hidden in your basement somewhere, air defenses have to be operated by people. And it's not a simple job, it's more advanced air traffic control plus electromagnetic warfare and basic rocket science. If your military is organized like shit, and recruits are selected according to politics rather than qualification (and they really would have to struggle to find qualified ones), no amount of training is going to make them good (and they need far more training than just few US courses, hint hint), and even if they did, if the officers above them suck, and they usually do, that is worth only so much.

Okay, then prove it in this case. Lets see some sources by you on their training, force structure, officer corps, etc in the Air Defenses.

By your logic USA could have destroyed the Soviet Union just like it went through Iraq, because Soviet instructors trained Iraqi military and sold them gear.

So did the United States, interestingly enough. Perhaps that should be telling, especially in the context of the United States Army directly noting Iran won the Iraq War.

So you are saying there is an enemy, and Iran should have been getting bombed since years. If that is so, i agree, USA should have had far more aggressive policy towards punishing irregular action by rogue states.

No, I don't recall ever saying that and challenge you to quote me as to that effect. Rather, I directly quoted a famous military maxim in regards to your enemy not doing what you him to do being the general rule; they are capable of thinking and reacting just as you are, in effect, having a "vote" on your actions too.

If you're asking me my opinion, I'd rather we ditch Israel and work to forge a Saudi-Iranian detente via diplomacy, while extracting ourselves from the region. After 20 years of seeing first fathers and then their sons go over there, not one more drop of American blood should be spent there. If you as a Pole want to sacrifice your youth for that, be my guest, but no more for us.

US assessment is: "plz more funding, or losses *might* happen".

Actually, it specifically notes they've built up asymmetric capabilities that enable them to hit targets further away and with greater accuracy, while having built up stockpiles for swarm attacks that target our bases, ships and local infrastructure. Iran doesn't have to sink an CBG to make any U.S. victory hollow either; destroying the Saudi oil fields alone will do that.

Wow, is the US political establishment paying you to write this shit? You really think it's not because the whole civil service and most of political class are cucks who fear what CNN will do to them over an escalation with Iran, it's because Iran is becoming a superpower and US military doesn't really have the ability to fight them easily so really all the bullshit Obama did in that regard was totally rational avoidance of a conflict that would be lost.
Did you register as a Democrat yet?

Is that why Trump backed off launching strikes on them after they targeted our bases and inflicted 100 American WIAs in January of 2020?

Yeah, i don't think the leftists in US administrations care about oaths and shit, what do you think they are, vikings, knights, samurai? No, they are leftists, and for them letting hostile foreign powers get away with shit they shouldn't is a feature, not a bug.

That's all well and good, but I didn't ask about the administration; I asked about the roughly 2 million service members currently enlisted and under oath. Why are they letting foreign powers get away with things? The answer, as I believe it to be, is that Iran is far stronger than many would like to admit and that has a deterring effect.

You are right in one aspect, however: Why are you as a Pole attempting to argue with me what my nation should do in our affairs, with our blood? You have no right nor vote in the matter, it is solely up to us. Personally, I do not see the need to take advice from a "culture" that struggles to remain on the map of Europe nowadays.
 
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Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
Okay, then what sources are actually valid in your view? Somehow DIA assessments are just calls for more funding, news reports are dismissed, etc; you're essentially seeking to, as I said before, create an unfalsifiable argument. That is by definition bad faith and makes further argument between us pointless; you won't accept any reasoning or resources that go contrary to your world view, however lacking in objectivity as it is.
No, the assessment doesn't say what you think it says. If you are willing to hang on to your silly theory that's a meme in defense circles to a point where you are going to pull statements from whole article that kinda support it while ignoring other statements in the same article that are contrary to it, there is nothing i can do to help you.
Your whole activity in this thread is bad faith, so fuck off.
There is no serious, mainstream naval warfare expert who will roll with it.
If you want to try understand it yet again, i recommend this:
And this:
For one, I never actually said that and I challenge you to quote me where I did.

And their drone capabilities are very strong, as demonstrated by them repeatedly piercing U.S. air defenses for CBGs since 2016.
I was mocking you for bringing up the case of Iranian drones "buzzing" US warships.
Why did you bring it up? What did you imply there? That the warship, contrary to international norms and policy, should have turned the Phalanx system on and shoot at anything that flies closer that several kilometers to it, in international waters and airspace?
If the answer is no, then Iran can also fly over them with a fucking Boeing 747 and "pierce U.S. air defenses" with it.
Second, it's weird blowing up the commander of the Quds Force is fine but shooting down unmanned drones next to carriers is a step too far? We can snatch and grab Iranian ships in international waters, but we can't protect our own Navy? None of this logically makes sense when given more than a moment of thinking.
Yes, it is. It was a controversial operation ordered by president Trump himself, with a lot of planning. Meanwhile the standing policy of the Navy is to not shoot at any flyer that gets close during peacetime. Also Quds Force is a terrorist organization according to US law since only 2019, so i guess that changed some things.

Here you have more basic explanation of US Navy policy regarding aircraft flying over their ships, on the basis of a Russian case.

I did read the article you posted and then demonstrated the individual in question lied. His words before the wargame contradict his later statements, said later statements noted the use of the word freeplay is exactly as I stated and the Pentagon report after the fact also confirms exactly as I said. Simply put, the guy lied and was seeking to cover his own ass after the reports leaked to the media in 2002 and since.
No, the guy didn't lie, the guy used awkward wording, and then regretted it because people like you use it to drive own silly agendas.

Next, the entire purpose of the war game was to demonstrate the value of technology that didn't even exist yet and the military was seeking to get money for its procurement. Why are you being a propagandist and running cover for a guy who was seeking to get more funding for the military? Be logically consistent in your assessments.
My assessment is that you are driving an agenda here, and you will twist anyone's wording as much as necessary to suit it. You have demonstrated that you do not understand how military wargames work, and are uninterested in changing that.


No, the number refers to the total amount of people involved and split up at 17 simulation sites around the world. As the report I cited and you quoted directly notes:

The featured activity of MC ’02 would be a red team war-game simulation. The hypothetical joint experiment would feature an anti-access, area-denial scenario that was situated in the world of 2007, pitting a U.S. blue team of 350 personnel led by Army Lt. Gen. B. B. Bell against an OPFOR of 90 personnel modeling an adversary, and initially led by Van Riper. Kernan personally selected Van Riper to lead the OPFOR, believing that, since he was a “devious sort of guy” and “a no-nonsense solid professional warfighter,” he was the best possible candidate.​

Perhaps you should take the time to actually read the article?
That clearly refers to one of the sites. The very same article refers the 13,500 number:
MC ’02 was intended to be the largest, most expensive, and most elaborate concept-development exercise in U.S. military history. The exercise was mandated by Congress to “explore critical war fighting challenges at the operational level of war that will confront United States joint military forces after 2010.” Developed over two years at a cost of $250 million, it would grow to include 13,500 service members participating from 17 simulation locations and nine live-force training sites. It was promoted by Pentagon officials as a demonstration of “leap-ahead technologies,” and was intended to provide commanders with “dominant battle space knowledge” to conduct “rapid decisive operations” against future adversaries.
Why do you insist on fooling around like this? Do you think this gets you respect? Makes you look clever? No, this shit is why i always call you a clown.

Taking that at face value, that rather then suggests fighting Iran would be very difficult if those problems are institutional as you note? That's a major hole in your thesis; if U.S. sailors are that bad at operating and their officer corps is that poor, then those systematic issues will lead to real world ramifications in terms of their performance.
Well i guess the small boats on training missions at peacetime don't get the best officers in the Navy, and those who did that fuck-up will never command a carrier, or even a destroyer.
Those in any sane Navy it's those who don't do such mistakes who would be allowed to command bigger warships, makes sense?

You can't have it both ways, Marduk. To find the answer, and to eliminate the "bad escalation policy" idea, you might find it useful to actually read about the incident and how they used live ammo.
They didn't use live ammo, lol, i have no idea where you got these weird "facts".


That's an interesting thing to claim, given you made no mention of their culture and Arab is an ethnic identity.
Ethnicity includes culture.


Okay, then prove it in this case. Lets see some sources by you on their training, force structure, officer corps, etc in the Air Defenses.
There are many articles and even books written on Arab military failure in modern warfare in general.

So did the United States, interestingly enough. Perhaps that should be telling, especially in the context of the United States Army directly noting Iran won the Iraq War.
With how many times more casualties and time spent?


No, I don't recall ever saying that and challenge you to quote me as to that effect. Rather, I directly quoted a famous military maxim in regards to your enemy not doing what you him to do being the general rule; they are capable of thinking and reacting just as you are, in effect, having a "vote" on your actions too.
Well then, you admit that you brought up the maxim, and that it refers to enemies.
So, is there an enemy, or not? Without the answer to that question, it's impossible to say whether US forces should be shooting at someone or not.

If you're asking me my opinion, I'd rather we ditch Israel and work to forge a Saudi-Iranian detente via diplomacy, while extracting ourselves from the region. After 20 years of seeing first fathers and then their sons go over there, not one more drop of American blood should be spent there. If you as a Pole want to sacrifice your youth for that, be my guest, but no more for us.
Ah, so here your political axe you were grinding all that time comes out in its full glory, finally. And it's are as ridiculous as expected.
I'd rather herd cats than "try forge a Saudi-Iranian detente via diplomacy", and i think it's not an uncommon opinion among the world leaders.
Actually, it specifically notes they've built up asymmetric capabilities that enable them to hit targets further away and with greater accuracy, while having built up stockpiles for swarm attacks that target our bases, ships and local infrastructure. Iran doesn't have to sink an CBG to make any U.S. victory hollow either; destroying the Saudi oil fields alone will do that.
How do speedboats help destroy oil fields? How was that whole exercise relevant to it? How do you even destroy oil fields for good?

Is that why Trump backed off launching strikes on them after they targeted our bases and inflicted 100 American WIAs in January of 2020?
Yes. Do you have an idea how much controversy did that raise in the swamp?

That's all well and good, but I didn't ask about the administration; I asked about the roughly 2 million service members currently enlisted and under oath. Why are they letting foreign powers get away with things? The answer, as I believe it to be, is that Iran is far stronger than many would like to admit and that has a deterring effect.
Because USA is not led by a military junta, but by presidents, and they make these decisions, not the individual servicemen, obliged to follow orders.

You are right in one aspect, however: Why are you as a Pole attempting to argue with me what my nation should do in our affairs, with our blood? You have no right nor vote in the matter, it is solely up to us. Personally, I do not see the need to take advice from a "culture" that struggles to remain on the map of Europe nowadays.
For one you cannot take my or anyone else's advice on this, because as far as we know your name isn't Joe Biden, so your complaining about my advice is irrelevant and pathetic.
You want to play this game?
Fine.
Let's ask @Zachowon , who is an actual US service member, unlike you, what he thinks of your expertise in this topic. Enjoy.
 
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Buba

A total creep
Naval Gazing?
What PR genius invented such a name?
It will become "navel gazing" immediately ...
 

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
No, the assessment doesn't say what you think it says. If you are willing to hang on to your silly theory that's a meme in defense circles to a point where you are going to pull statements from whole article that kinda support it while ignoring other statements in the same article that are contrary to it, there is nothing i can do to help you.
Your whole activity in this thread is bad faith, so fuck off.
There is no serious, mainstream naval warfare expert who will roll with it.
If you want to try understand it yet again, i recommend this:
And this:



I was mocking you for bringing up the case of Iranian drones "buzzing" US warships.
Why did you bring it up? What did you imply there? That the warship, contrary to international norms and policy, should have turned the Phalanx system on and shoot at anything that flies closer that several kilometers to it, in international waters and airspace?
If the answer is no, then Iran can also fly over them with a fucking Boeing 747 and "pierce U.S. air defenses" with it.

Yes, it is. It was a controversial operation ordered by president Trump himself, with a lot of planning. Meanwhile the standing policy of the Navy is to not shoot at any flyer that gets close during peacetime. Also Quds Force is a terrorist organization according to US law since only 2019, so i guess that changed some things.

Here you have more basic explanation of US Navy policy regarding aircraft flying over their ships, on the basis of a Russian case.


No, the guy didn't lie, the guy used awkward wording, and then regretted it because people like you use it to drive own silly agendas.


My assessment is that you are driving an agenda here, and you will twist anyone's wording as much as necessary to suit it. You have demonstrated that you do not understand how military wargames work, and are uninterested in changing that.



That clearly refers to one of the site. The very same article refers the 13,500 number

Why do you insist on fooling around like this? Do you think this gets you respect? Makes you look clever? No, this shit is why i always call you a clown.


Well i guess the small boats on training missions at peacetime don't get the best officers in the Navy, and those who did that fuck-up will never command a carrier, or even a destroyer.
Those in any sane Navy it's those who don't do such mistakes who would be allowed to command bigger warships, makes sense?


They didn't use live ammo, lol, i have no idea where you got these weird "facts".



Ethnicity includes culture.



There are many articles and even books written on Arab military failure in modern warfare in general.


With how many times more casualties and time spent?



Well then, you admit that you brought up the maxim, and that it refers to enemies.
So, is there an enemy, or not? Without the answer to that question, it's impossible to say whether US forces should be shooting at someone or not.


Ah, so here your political axe you were grinding all that time comes out in its full glory, finally. And it's are as ridiculous as expected.
I'd rather herd cats than "try forge a Saudi-Iranian detente via diplomacy", and i think it's not an uncommon opinion among the world leaders.

How do speedboats help destroy oil fields? How was that whole exercise relevant to it? How do you even destroy oil fields for good?


Yes. Do you have an idea how much controversy did that raise in the swamp?


Because USA is not led by a military junta, but by presidents, and they make these decisions, not the individual servicemen, obliged to follow orders.


For one you cannot take my or anyone else's advice on this, because as far as we know your name isn't Joe Biden, so your complaining about my advice is irrelevant and pathetic.
You want to play this game?
Fine.
Let's ask @Zachowon , who is an actual US service member, unlike you, what he thinks of your expertise in this topic. Enjoy.
What you need me to explain?
How watgames work?
My feelings on us going to war with Iran?

War games really don't go larger then division in the field and that is rare.
Often times will be a BCT at like NTC or JRTC for the Army and it is all blank fires and white card stuff.

If you arnt front line like a BCT you end up just doing simulated on computers and stuff.
For instance I do all mine on a computer and not in the field, but we do go to the field just not my section.
We for instance use exercises for everyone BUT my job because we are restricted by laws.
So there is that. Mine also is for the commanders and staff less the junions
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
What you need me to explain?
How watgames work?
My feelings on us going to war with Iran?

War games really don't go larger then division in the field and that is rare.
Often times will be a BCT at like NTC or JRTC for the Army and it is all blank fires and white card stuff.

If you arnt front line like a BCT you end up just doing simulated on computers and stuff.
For instance I do all mine on a computer and not in the field, but we do go to the field just not my section.
We for instance use exercises for everyone BUT my job because we are restricted by laws.
So there is that. Mine also is for the commanders and staff less the junions
The Millenium Challenge 2002 controversy and as some people use it to justify their Iran wank.
 

History Learner

Well-known member
No, the assessment doesn't say what you think it says. If you are willing to hang on to your silly theory that's a meme in defense circles to a point where you are going to pull statements from whole article that kinda support it while ignoring other statements in the same article that are contrary to it, there is nothing i can do to help you.
Your whole activity in this thread is bad faith, so fuck off.

The assessment says exactly as I say it does, it's why you didn't quote anything from it to disprove what I said and immediately switched to name calling. Pointedly, I asked you for sources on their direct capabilities; you failed to provide that. You are only unable to help me because you lack the capabilities to help yourself, it's why I reduce you to a pile of sputtering rage in every encounter.

There is no serious, mainstream naval warfare expert who will roll with it.
If you want to try understand it yet again, i recommend this:
And this:

Your first source is an unnamed blog writer, using "Naval Gazing" as the title of their blog. Can you please explain to me how this unknown individual qualifies as a serious, mainstream naval warfare expert?

Your second is a discussion forum thread with three posts, again with anonymous posters, whom we have no idea of the qualifications of. Again, how are these people qualified, mainstream and serious naval warfare experts? Can you link me to some of the mainstream works of "MKSheppard"?

I was mocking you for bringing up the case of Iranian drones "buzzing" US warships.
Why did you bring it up? What did you imply there? That the warship, contrary to international norms and policy, should have turned the Phalanx system on and shoot at anything that flies closer that several kilometers to it, in international waters and airspace?

So, in other words, I never said as you claimed and you thus lied:

, and saying Baghdad Bob worthy things like "haha stupid westerners don't shoot at Iran's drones in international waters, it has to be because they can't, not because they aren't at war".

800.jpg

You've said it yourself, a Navy can't always be at war level readiness. Here, you've also brought up the inability to randomly fire apparently in international waters; what happens to U.S. carriers like this one when the drone plows into them suddenly in a new Pearl Harbor attack? This was one of the key points Riper was making in the exercises; the enemy gets a say, and if he's sure we're coming for him, this is the type of stuff to expect him to do, because Riper himself would do it.

If the answer is no, then Iran can also fly over them with a fucking Boeing 747 and "pierce U.S. air defenses" with it.

You mean like that time USS Vincennes shot down Iran Air Flight 655? That killed 290 people, by the way.

Y
es, it is. It was a controversial operation ordered by president Trump himself, with a lot of planning. Meanwhile the standing policy of the Navy is to not shoot at any flyer that gets close during peacetime. Also Quds Force is a terrorist organization according to US law since only 2019, so i guess that changed some things.

Cool, and the operator of the drones are IRGC too. Why can we kill Quds Force members but not shoot down unmanned drones? If you need extensive planning to use CIWS, you're fucked.

Here you have more basic explanation of US Navy policy regarding aircraft flying over their ships, on the basis of a Russian case.

Unlike Russia, Iran doesn't have a nuclear force and the drones in question weren't manned.

No, the guy didn't lie, the guy used awkward wording, and then regretted it because people like you use it to drive own silly agendas.

He did, as he noted his word choice conveyed exactly what Ripper said. The problem for him is we have the Pentagon's own internal report which shows he meant what he said, the scripting only came in as the games went on; it wasn't the original intent.

My assessment is that you are driving an agenda here, and you will twist anyone's wording as much as necessary to suit it. You have demonstrated that you do not understand how military wargames work, and are uninterested in changing that.

Because I'm right and you're wrong, it's simple. It's why you're unable to mount an argument beyond saying I'm wrong, it's why I drive you utterly mad.

That clearly refers to one of the sites. The very same article refers the 13,500 number:

No, it directly says the entire live portion of the Blue Force was 350, OPFOR was 90. 13,500 was those total involved in the war game from around the world; if you recall, it was mostly simulated.

Why do you insist on fooling around like this? Do you think this gets you respect? Makes you look clever? No, this shit is why i always call you a clown.

Why do you insist on projecting your inferiority upon others?

Well i guess the small boats on training missions at peacetime don't get the best officers in the Navy, and those who did that fuck-up will never command a carrier, or even a destroyer.

I didn't realize 2008, during the Iraq and Afghanistan War, was peacetime. Perhaps you should take some time to look up recent history before arguing further?

Those in any sane Navy it's those who don't do such mistakes who would be allowed to command bigger warships, makes sense?

Just like the Captains of the Battle Fleet at Pearl Harbor didn't get to command further, yes. Cold comfort to the 3,000 men who died, for sure.

They didn't use live ammo, lol, i have no idea where you got these weird "facts".

Reality, you should try it sometime.

Ethnicity includes culture.

Interesting theory, Poland should open its borders to immigrants then if they abandon their "culture".

There are many articles and even books written on Arab military failure in modern warfare in general.

Which is to, again, avoid my actual question: what is the status of training and equipment of their modern Air Defenses? You even quoted the line asking that, so I'm not sure why you contest Egyptian Armor units are relevant when discussing 2019 Saudi Arabian Anti Air units.

Likewise, the articles make the point about their training center. Given we know the Saudi Arabian crews were trained by Americans, they were outside the traditional Arab training systems; does that not invalidate your point?

With how many times more casualties and time spent?

Whom?

Well then, you admit that you brought up the maxim, and that it refers to enemies.
So, is there an enemy, or not? Without the answer to that question, it's impossible to say whether US forces should be shooting at someone or not.

Does the parable of the Frog and Scorpion lose its metaphoric value because the listener isn't an animal?

My personal opinion is Iran is not our enemy, and that we should get out of the Middle East.

Ah, so here your political axe you were grinding all that time comes out in its full glory, finally. And it's are as ridiculous as expected.
I'd rather herd cats than "try forge a Saudi-Iranian detente via diplomacy", and i think it's not an uncommon opinion among the world leaders.

Cool, don't care.

How do speedboats help destroy oil fields? How was that whole exercise relevant to it? How do you even destroy oil fields for good?

Speedboats don't, but a stockpile of medium range missiles do, which is what I was actually talking about. As for the oil fields, you destroy the infrastructure, such as the pumping facilities, pipelines, etc. It'll be knocked out of commission for years and cause a world wide depression because of high energy prices.

Yes. Do you have an idea how much controversy did that raise in the swamp?

Yes, which entirely invalidates your original point; they were mad at him for NOT escalating.

Because USA is not led by a military junta, but by presidents, and they make these decisions, not the individual servicemen, obliged to follow orders.

Cool, and you've already suggested said leaders are traitors. Said service members have an oath in that case, why aren't they following it? Either you're wrong in your characterization, or the U.S. military rank and file is complicit in what you categorize as a crime.

Make up your mind.

For one you cannot take my or anyone else's advice on this, because as far as we know your name isn't Joe Biden, so your complaining about my advice is irrelevant and pathetic.
You want to play this game?
Fine
Let's ask @Zachowon , who is an actual US service member, unlike you, what he thinks of your expertise in this topic. Enjoy.

I don't have to play a game you already started and lost, as best exemplified by the fact you couldn't even answer my question and had to attempt to bring someone else in to make your arguments for you. There is no sin in admitting you're ignorant Marduk, to double down when you are clearly out of your depth, is.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
The assessment says exactly as I say it does, it's why you didn't quote anything from it to disprove what I said and immediately switched to name calling. Pointedly, I asked you for sources on their direct capabilities; you failed to provide that. You are only unable to help me because you lack the capabilities to help yourself, it's why I reduce you to a pile of sputtering rage in every encounter.
I remind you that a clown like you is not worthy of my rage, only deep contempt.
Your first source is an unnamed blog writer, using "Naval Gazing" as the title of their blog. Can you please explain to me how this unknown individual qualifies as a serious, mainstream naval warfare expert?

Your second is a discussion forum thread with three posts, again with anonymous posters, whom we have no idea of the qualifications of. Again, how are these people qualified, mainstream and serious naval warfare experts? Can you link me to some of the mainstream works of "MKSheppard"?
Ah, so you did finally find the quotes on capabilities.
Look a bit harder, and you might find out that these anoynmous people are quoting a certain Stuart Slade, one of these links being to an archive of a now defunct personal forum of his, which is why i have added these links.
He was in fact an independent defense analyst specializing in naval warfare, even wrote a few books about it, even specifically littoral warfare.
800.jpg
You or i could get a pilot's license, buy a Cessna, buy a long focus camera and do the same photo over a CVBG in international waters, lol.
Hence, it proves exactly jack shit.
You've said it yourself, a Navy can't always be at war level readiness. Here, you've also brought up the inability to randomly fire apparently in international waters; what happens to U.S. carriers like this one when the drone plows into them suddenly in a new Pearl Harbor attack? This was one of the key points Riper was making in the exercises; the enemy gets a say, and if he's sure we're coming for him, this is the type of stuff to expect him to do, because Riper himself would do it.
Well then USA has 10 more carriers, and they don't get to fly or sail anything close to carriers anymore without getting shot at.

You mean like that time USS Vincennes shot down Iran Air Flight 655? That killed 290 people, by the way.
Yes, like that, and there was Iran playing around the line between war and peace in that incident too.
Cool, and the operator of the drones are IRGC too. Why can we kill Quds Force members but not shoot down unmanned drones? If you need extensive planning to use CIWS, you're fucked.
International waters have their own laws. Also the incident you referred was from before 2019, when Quds Force was designated as terrorists.
Yes, you need to intend to actually shoot at things to activate CIWS, it's not safe to just leave it on and forget about it. As explained with the incident with Russian aircraft, in both cases the warship's commander didn't order the aircraft to be shot down, so obviously it couldn't be, even if the ship was fully capable of shooting it down, is it so hard to understand?
At this point we can discuss whether US Navy's rules of engagement in such scenarios should be different, but that's an issue of politics and law, rather than technical capability.

Unlike Russia, Iran doesn't have a nuclear force and the drones in question weren't manned.
So what? Since when any western country is willing to have its ships randomly shoot down any foreign aircraft over international waters, intentionally, for getting to close to said ships in international waters, which by laws and customs governing airspace over them they are legally allowed to?

Yes, they do in fact respect those laws and customs , possibly more than the laws of the land of Iraq and Iran.

He did, as he noted his word choice conveyed exactly what Ripper said. The problem for him is we have the Pentagon's own internal report which shows he meant what he said, the scripting only came in as the games went on; it wasn't the original intent.
You have had it explained again and again, there is a level of scripting unavoidable in any exercise, especially one with live elements, like this one.

Because I'm right and you're wrong, it's simple. It's why you're unable to mount an argument beyond saying I'm wrong, it's why I drive you utterly mad.
Spare me the projecting, get a mirror. I've posted plenty enough of arguments that this exercise could never be fully unscripted and accurate, but if you can easily ignore all of them just like that, even quotes by the people taking part in organizing that specific exercise, what's the point.

No, it directly says the entire live portion of the Blue Force was 350, OPFOR was 90. 13,500 was those total involved in the war game from around the world; if you recall, it was mostly simulated.
That's not what it says you analphabetic clown.
You don't need to prove that you can troll any more, now fuck off to learn to read properly.


Why do you insist on projecting your inferiority upon others?
Is that all you got in defense of your inability to read?

I didn't realize 2008, during the Iraq and Afghanistan War, was peacetime. Perhaps you should take some time to look up recent history before arguing further?
The boat capture incident happened in 2016, check the dates, lol.
And yeah, a peacekeeping operation in a landlocked country and a peacekeeping operation against guerillas without a navy definitely are something that puts a Navy on war footing.


Just like the Captains of the Battle Fleet at Pearl Harbor didn't get to command further, yes. Cold comfort to the 3,000 men who died, for sure.
What are you trying to imply here? That USA should preemptively start a war against Iran due to the possibility that Iran may successfully do a perfidious attack against one of US warships, exploiting USA's unwillingness to order its forces to commit acts of war against Iranian shipping and aircraft merely for the act of getting uncomfortably close in international waters?
If you were to imply that, then you are volunteering to be among the foremost of the Iran hawks you otherwise don't seem to favor.


Different article, different date, different incident.


Interesting theory, Poland should open its borders to immigrants then if they abandon their "culture".
I think you need to read up to the definition of the term "include" which i've used.

Which is to, again, avoid my actual question: what is the status of training and equipment of their modern Air Defenses? You even quoted the line asking that, so I'm not sure why you contest Egyptian Armor units are relevant when discussing 2019 Saudi Arabian Anti Air units.
All these articles about Arab armed forces' performance refer Saudi Arabia by name as part of their scope, i as far as i've looked no one bothered to write one very specifically referring to Saudi air defenses, and if general ones are not up to your satisfaction, i'll have you know that your satisfaction is not important to me.

Likewise, the articles make the point about their training center. Given we know the Saudi Arabian crews were trained by Americans, they were outside the traditional Arab training systems; does that not invalidate your point?
No, because in any modern armed forces training needs is not something that is done once, it has to be regular, and nowhere does it say that the US instructors gave stellar ratings to their Arab trainees afterwards, in fact quite the opposite.
From one of them:
Conclusion

It would be difficult to exaggerate the cultural gulf separating American and Arab military cultures. In every significant area, American military advisors find students who enthusiastically take in their lessons and then resolutely fail to apply them.
Does that sound like a military that is fighting exactly as their US instructors would?


Iran's.
Does the parable of the Frog and Scorpion lose its metaphoric value because the listener isn't an animal?

My personal opinion is Iran is not our enemy, and that we should get out of the Middle East.
Your opinion is duly noted and disregarded.
Yet you have a massive problem with separating your opinion on whether Iran should be considered US enemy (i say yes, you say no), whether US is treating Iran with enough paranoia (which would be justified if Iran was in fact an enemy and extremely dangerous one at that), and whether Iran is in fact a serious, if not superior opponent to US expeditionary forces (you're implying it absolutely is, me, not so much).


Speedboats don't, but a stockpile of medium range missiles do, which is what I was actually talking about. As for the oil fields, you destroy the infrastructure, such as the pumping facilities, pipelines, etc. It'll be knocked out of commission for years and cause a world wide depression because of high energy prices.
Missiles aren't made equal. What missiles exactly?


Yes, which entirely invalidates your original point; they were mad at him for NOT escalating.
Does that look like the swamp wanting him to escalate more?

Cool, and you've already suggested said leaders are traitors. Said service members have an oath in that case, why aren't they following it? Either you're wrong in your characterization, or the U.S. military rank and file is complicit in what you categorize as a crime.

Make up your mind.
Why do you make the jump to treason? I could have meant simple incompetence, yet you did.
Nice fedposting.

I don't have to play a game you already started and lost, as best exemplified by the fact you couldn't even answer my question and had to attempt to bring someone else in to make your arguments for you. There is no sin in admitting you're ignorant Marduk, to double down when you are clearly out of your depth, is.
Well you brought up my personal characteristic like citizenship, claiming it invalidates my opinion on this, so i've asked the opinion of someone else who can't be attacked this way.
You're doubling down because your dirty tricks got you humiliated further.
 

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
Exercises are scripted but also not and can be modified and adjusted by who ever is Red Cell/the sim people.

The scripts are and arnt manually imputed. They are put in and then modified and automated based off a system.
And this is nee and it is still outdated and I can get more realistic out if Arma but yeay
 

History Learner

Well-known member
I remind you that a clown like you is not worthy of my rage, only deep contempt.

And yet, I still induce you to waste your life replying to me. If I am clown, then you are my biggest joke.

Ah, so you did finally find the quotes on capabilities.
Look a bit harder, and you might find out that these anoynmous people are quoting a certain Stuart Slade, one of these links being to an archive of a now defunct personal forum of his, which is why i have added these links.
He was in fact an independent defense analyst specializing in naval warfare, even wrote a few books about it, even specifically littoral warfare.

So your "mainstream, serious naval experts" was not multiple people as claimed, but actually one guy who was never in the U.S. Navy and who's degree was in aerospace engineering. I looked at his biography, nothing there makes him an expert and you claimed you could cite multiple. No wonder you dodged the hard questions I asked, yet again.

You or i could get a pilot's license, buy a Cessna, buy a long focus camera and do the same photo over a CVBG in international waters, lol.
Hence, it proves exactly jack shit.

Well good thing we know that's not what they did, eh? You might, as usual, find it worthwhile to read what the actual reports are before arguing on them.

Well then USA has 10 more carriers, and they don't get to fly or sail anything close to carriers anymore without getting shot at.

The U.S. also has about half of those in port at any one time for maintenance, refueling, etc. If all U.S. carriers are busy in the Middle East, that also opens up nice opportunities for the Norks and Chinese, no? I don't doubt the U.S. could win such a conflict against Iran, I've said that since the beginning, but the costs are going to be heavy and you've just outlined one of them.

Yes, like that, and there was Iran playing around the line between war and peace in that incident too.

So, again, that counters your point because you said the U.S. couldn't do that.

International waters have their own laws. Also the incident you referred was from before 2019, when Quds Force was designated as terrorists.

No actually, I said this had been happening multiple times since 2015. The above article I quoted was from 2020; would you like to try again, or do you accept you're getting an L on this one too?

Yes, you need to intend to actually shoot at things to activate CIWS, it's not safe to just leave it on and forget about it. As explained with the incident with Russian aircraft, in both cases the warship's commander didn't order the aircraft to be shot down, so obviously it couldn't be, even if the ship was fully capable of shooting it down, is it so hard to understand?

The part in which you fail to understand is it only takes one drone crashing into a loaded flight deck to mission kill a carrier, if not sink it, making the costliest engagement of the U.S. since the Vietnam War in one blow.

At this point we can discuss whether US Navy's rules of engagement in such scenarios should be different, but that's an issue of politics and law, rather than technical capability.

They didn't give a shit about international law when they killed Solemani in early 2020, so that's not a valid excuse.

So what? Since when any western country is willing to have its ships randomly shoot down any foreign aircraft over international waters, intentionally, for getting to close to said ships in international waters, which by laws and customs governing airspace over them they are legally allowed to?

And yet, you conceded the U.S. did exactly this with an airliner full of civilians. Would you like to try again?

Yes, they do in fact respect those laws and customs , possibly more than the laws of the land of Iraq and Iran.

And yet, we have the above.

You have had it explained again and again, there is a level of scripting unavoidable in any exercise, especially one with live elements, like this one.

And we have the Pentagon, in writing, saying that wasn't meant to be the case. Continuously repeating an argument I've already established is baseless in the words of the DoD tells me you have no real retorts at this point.

Spare me the projecting, get a mirror. I've posted plenty enough of arguments that this exercise could never be fully unscripted and accurate, but if you can easily ignore all of them just like that, even quotes by the people taking part in organizing that specific exercise, what's the point.

You posted two officials engaging in CYOA, to which I responded to by showing their Pre-Game statements which contradicted their later statements as well as the official DoD review of the exercise. If you can easily ignore the fact third party expert review, then yeah, the problem is indeed with you taking another L in this argument so far.

That's not what it says you analphabetic clown.
You don't need to prove that you can troll any more, now fuck off to learn to read properly.

But it does, that's why you've been reduced to raging here than actual arguments.

Is that all you got in defense of your inability to read?

Again, we see that ineffectual rage coming out because you're losing.

The boat capture incident happened in 2016, check the dates, lol.

Good thing I wasn't talking about the boat capture, no?

And yeah, a peacekeeping operation in a landlocked country and a peacekeeping operation against guerillas without a navy definitely are something that puts a Navy on war footing.

Which is a remarkable thing to say, given you keep trying to compare armored combat between Egypt and Israel in the 1960s as somehow relevant to U.S. trained and equipped Saudi Arabian Air Defenses in 2019. As I've had to ask you many times, please try to be consistent in your argumentation.

What are you trying to imply here? That USA should preemptively start a war against Iran due to the possibility that Iran may successfully do a perfidious attack against one of US warships, exploiting USA's unwillingness to order its forces to commit acts of war against Iranian shipping and aircraft merely for the act of getting uncomfortably close in international waters?

What I'm trying to say here is what I've said multiple times: it only takes one surprise attack to make this the most costly U.S. war since Vietnam. Rather than seeking to start such a conflict and losing tens of thousands of American casualties, I prefer disengagement and diplomacy. That you see fit to be frugal with other people's sons, whom you have no connection with, does confirm many of my views of you.

If you were to imply that, then you are volunteering to be among the foremost of the Iran hawks you otherwise don't seem to favor.

Given I'm not a blood thirsty psychopath, unlike someone else in this thread, no.

Different article, different date, different incident.

But proves they did use live ammo, and did this multiple times. Really kills your whole argument, even if you don't actually double check the date lol.

I think you need to read up to the definition of the term "include" which i've used.

Either way, it's a cop out after you got caught. Let's not pretend otherwise; I make no judgements on your personal views, but when you seek to double back on them, that's very telling.

All these articles about Arab armed forces' performance refer Saudi Arabia by name as part of their scope, i as far as i've looked no one bothered to write one very specifically referring to Saudi air defenses, and if general ones are not up to your satisfaction, i'll have you know that your satisfaction is not important to me.

So, in other words, you have no prove of any of your claims. Just knowing you took the L here is sufficient for my purposes.

No, because in any modern armed forces training needs is not something that is done once, it has to be regular, and nowhere does it say that the US instructors gave stellar ratings to their Arab trainees afterwards, in fact quite the opposite.
From one of them:

Does that sound like a military that is fighting exactly as their US instructors would?

And as I said before: what relevance does armored combat in the 1960s have to do with Saudi Air Defenses in 2019? You seem to want to engage in double standards on this, as I noted earlier.


Far less than the United States. Iran didn't take over 4,000 KIA in Iraq to become dominant there, after all.

Your opinion is duly noted and disregarded.
Yet you have a massive problem with separating your opinion on whether Iran should be considered US enemy (i say yes, you say no), whether US is treating Iran with enough paranoia (which would be justified if Iran was in fact an enemy and extremely dangerous one at that), and whether Iran is in fact a serious, if not superior opponent to US expeditionary forces (you're implying it absolutely is, me, not so much).

Well good thing I can vote in American elections and you can't, eh?

Missiles aren't made equal. What missiles exactly?

Have you already forgotten we were arguing over a DIA report that was stating exactly this?


Did the word Iran ever appear in said proceedings? Would shock me if it did, and probably why you didn't cite it; you couldn't.

Why do you make the jump to treason? I could have meant simple incompetence, yet you did.
Nice fedposting.

I'm not sure how I can make the jump to reason when I've said this the last three posts; that you just figured it out speaks very lowly of your abilities here, frankly. If you could be bothered, you might find it useful to go back to my post before the last where I explicitly say I don't think that's the reality. That would, however, require you to have a shred of good faith argumentative ability, which I have never seen a spark of in our engagements.

Well you brought up my personal characteristic like citizenship, claiming it invalidates my opinion on this, so i've asked the opinion of someone else who can't be attacked this way.
You're doubling down because your dirty tricks got you humiliated further.

That's a funny way of avoiding direct questions and "forgetting" you were the one who originally brought it up. You can try with all your might, Marduk, and you still can't beat me at all this year.
 

Marduk

Well-known member
Moderator
Staff Member
And yet, I still induce you to waste your life replying to me. If I am clown, then you are my biggest joke.
So you are proud of wasting people's time. Thanks for admitting to being a troll.


So your "mainstream, serious naval experts" was not multiple people as claimed, but actually one guy who was never in the U.S. Navy and who's degree was in aerospace engineering. I looked at his biography, nothing there makes him an expert and you claimed you could cite multiple. No wonder you dodged the hard questions I asked, yet again.
And here, dear viewers, we have History Learner doing his usual "make the discussion about his inability to read provided quotes like a person who can in fact read" quote tricks History Learner is always doing.
Let's see if what he claims is true:
Curriculum Vitae

1972
Graduated from University of London with a BSc in Chemical Engineering

1972-1978
Worked in a naval research establishment gaining endorsement to BSc for Marine Engineering.



1978-1982
Employed as an analyst on the world chemical and oil tanker industry.

1982-1988
Systems analyst specializing in defense and naval electronics.

1988-1990
Worked for Janes Information Group as defense market analyst.
For one there is no degree in aerospace engineering. On the other hand, there are such things as a degree in Marine Engineering, you know, quite relevant to technicalities involving ships, and working for Janes, which, if you don't know what that is, you probably shouldn't be discussing naval warfare.

Why the fuck do i even try to humor your source requests if you are going to read in them completely different things than can be found written in them?


Iran flew surveillance drone over US aircraft carrier
Wow, they did in fact fly a drone over a carrier, which was undergoing a scheduled maneuver, and get this, they took photos! US Navy on suicide watch...
Some other countries do the same as an attempt at intimidation like China and Russia, except unlike Iran they can afford full size (and very much non stealth) jets to do that.
As you can see in the NATO press release, it is a sign of being unprofessional, but that's not a capital offense or act of war, so if the plane was shot down, it would be by accident.

Here you have some dude flying a civilian drone over UK's carrier, not while in a common waterway, but in fact in its own port, a much ballsier move (he could get a fine for this).
So congratulations to Iran, they have proven that they can do what any dude with a drone from Alibaba can do.

The U.S. also has about half of those in port at any one time for maintenance, refueling, etc. If all U.S. carriers are busy in the Middle East, that also opens up nice opportunities for the Norks and Chinese, no? I don't doubt the U.S. could win such a conflict against Iran, I've said that since the beginning, but the costs are going to be heavy and you've just outlined one of them.
So? That's a still a lot of carriers left to fuck them up, and your fanboying of Iran's military strength and defeatism regarding US military capabilities does not convince me, don't see other people being convinced either.

So, again, that counters your point because you said the U.S. couldn't do that.
I said it couldn't do that politically and legally, not technically, stop clowning around again.

No actually, I said this had been happening multiple times since 2015. The above article I quoted was from 2020; would you like to try again, or do you accept you're getting an L on this one too?
So? As i said, whether these overflights get shot down is a matter of leadership decision, the technical capability is there. If the leadership decides that they want them to get shot down, or for any reason one day that they are at war in Iran, these drones will no longer be allowed to get anywhere near that close. Until then...

The part in which you fail to understand is it only takes one drone crashing into a loaded flight deck to mission kill a carrier, if not sink it, making the costliest engagement of the U.S. since the Vietnam War in one blow.
Depends on the drone, and there are many, many other ways many countries could do a one-off perfidious attack against a US warship. That's true of any country's warships since ages, i'm not sure what kind of eureka are you trying to squeeze out of this fact. But if you think no Navy officers thought of this ever before you, then you are worthy of being called a clown.

They didn't give a shit about international law when they killed Solemani in early 2020, so that's not a valid excuse.
Soleimani wasn't killed under, in or over international waters you kek.

And yet, you conceded the U.S. did exactly this with an airliner full of civilians. Would you like to try again?
By accident. And they want to avoid those happening more, do you struggle with understanding that?
And we have the Pentagon, in writing, saying that wasn't meant to be the case. Continuously repeating an argument I've already established is baseless in the words of the DoD tells me you have no real retorts at this point.
You not being able to read DoD materials like a person with a three digit IQ is no problem of mine nor DoD.

You posted two officials engaging in CYOA, to which I responded to by showing their Pre-Game statements which contradicted their later statements as well as the official DoD review of the exercise. If you can easily ignore the fact third party expert review, then yeah, the problem is indeed with you taking another L in this argument so far.
No, they are contradicted only in your head.

But it does, that's why you've been reduced to raging here than actual arguments.
No, you have been reduced to clowning, and exactly the same muh quotes clowning and malicious analphabetism you present in other threads.


Again, we see that ineffectual rage coming out because you're losing.
Again, ineffectual clownery coming out, in addition to armchair psychology and declaring victory, so typical of you.


Good thing I wasn't talking about the boat capture, no?
Well if you are talking about drones flying over international waters, i've explained that to you already, too many times.


Which is a remarkable thing to say, given you keep trying to compare armored combat between Egypt and Israel in the 1960s as somehow relevant to U.S. trained and equipped Saudi Arabian Air Defenses in 2019. As I've had to ask you many times, please try to be consistent in your argumentation.
These texts are not limited in scope of reference to armored combat in Egypt and they all refer Saudi Arabia by name, you can ctrl+f that, read them then get back to me. So unless for some reason the Saudi air defense manages to commit such an unique acts of incompetent idiocy that it will warrant its own, separate, more scathing reviews than other Arab militaries, you will have to be satisfied with that.

What I'm trying to say here is what I've said multiple times: it only takes one surprise attack to make this the most costly U.S. war since Vietnam.
I think you are greatly confused about what "mission kill" means, how much explosives can a drone carry, and what does it take to cause a total loss of a carrier with all hands.
But then again, that is just one more thing among many, usually much simpler things you are greatly confused about.
By the way any country with submarines and long range torpedoes has a better chance of actually pulling this off, though it's still not guaranteed to work.
Rather than seeking to start such a conflict and losing tens of thousands of American casualties, I prefer disengagement and diplomacy. That you see fit to be frugal with other people's sons, whom you have no connection with, does confirm many of my views of you.
Ah, so you are a defeatist, could have saved your keyboard a lot of wear by just saying that.
Given I'm not a blood thirsty psychopath, unlike someone else in this thread, no.
I'd rather be an actual blood thirsty psychopath than someone as pathetic as you.
But proves they did use live ammo, and did this multiple times. Really kills your whole argument, even if you don't actually double check the date lol.
In a different incident. For warning shots. Which doesn't kill my argument, as it's completely besides it, ships using warning shots at sea is a pretty common practice. Hell, even the more laid back western navies do it sometimes.
Either way, it's a cop out after you got caught. Let's not pretend otherwise; I make no judgements on your personal views, but when you seek to double back on them, that's very telling.
Yes, i got caught using the term "includes", and you have admitted not understanding the full logical implications of that term, i can live with that.
Do i need to start writing in lawyerspeak like "includes but is not limited to" for you to stop pretending to be dumber than you are?

So, in other words, you have no prove of any of your claims. Just knowing you took the L here is sufficient for my purposes.
Yes, i know reading a few pages worth of an article is too much effort for your meager reading skills. Sometimes even one sentence is enough for them to fail, poor you.
Just knowing you took the L here is sufficient for my purposes.
And for the observers, here are few choice quotes from one of them:
In general, the militaries of the Fertile Crescent enforce discipline by fear; in countries where a tribal system still is in force, such as Saudi Arabia, the innate egalitarianism of the society mitigates against fear as the prime mover, so a general lack of discipline pervades.
As for equipment, a vast cultural gap exists between the U.S. and Arab maintenance and logistics systems. The Arab difficulties with U.S. equipment is not, as sometimes simplistically believed, a matter of “Arabs don’t do maintenance,” but a vast cultural gap. The American concept of a weapons system does not convey easily. A weapons system brings with it specific maintenance and logistics procedures, policies, and even a philosophy, all of them based on U.S. culture, with its expectations of a certain educational level, sense of small unit responsibility, tool allocation, and doctrine. The U.S. equipment and its maintenance are predicated on a concept of repair at the lowest level and therefore require delegation of authority. Tools that would be allocated to a U.S. battalion (a unit of some 600-800 personnel) would most likely be found at a much higher level — probably two or three echelons higher — in an Arab army. The expertise, initiative and, most importantly, the trust indicated by delegation of responsibility to a lower level are rare. Without the needed tools, spare parts, or expertise available to keep equipment running, and loathe to report bad news to his superiors, the unit commander looks for scapegoats.
No Arab ruler will allow combined operations or training to become routine, for these create familiarity, soften rivalries, erase suspicions, and eliminate the fragmented, competing organizations that enable rulers to play off rivals against one another. Politicians actually create obstacles to maintain fragmentation. For example, obtaining aircraft from the air force for army airborne training, whether it is a joint exercise or a simple administrative request for support of training, must generally be coordinated by the heads of services at the ministry of defense; if a large number of aircraft are involved, this probably requires presidential approval. Military coups may have gone out of style for now, but the fear of them remains strong. Any large-scale exercise of land forces is always a matter of concern to the government and is closely observed, particularly if live ammunition is being used. In Saudi Arabia a complex system of clearances required from area military commanders and provincial governors, all of whom have differing command channels to secure road convoy permission, obtaining ammunition, and conducting exercises, means that in order for a coup to work it would require a massive amount of loyal conspirators. The system has proven to be coup-proof, and there is no reason to believe it will not work well into the future.
Note that in none of these comments it states that Arab forces trained by US instructors, or at least Saudi air defense staff, are totally excepted from these broad statements and learn to be just as good as their teachers, quite the opposite.



And as I said before: what relevance does armored combat in the 1960s have to do with Saudi Air Defenses in 2019? You seem to want to engage in double standards on this, as I noted earlier.
You seem to engage in selective, malicious analphabetism, as i have noted earlier.

Far less than the United States. Iran didn't take over 4,000 KIA in Iraq to become dominant there, after all.
Source: your ass.
As far as we do know, some years ago it took estimated 200k to 600k KIA to win a phyrric self proclaimed victory\stalemate over Saddam's army which USA later has defeated twice with very limited losses.

Well good thing I can vote in American elections and you can't, eh?
For you, yes, for USA, no.


Have you already forgotten we were arguing over a DIA report that was stating exactly this?
No, we were arguing about the relevance of the exercise to the balance of forces between Iran and USA. I personally don't give a shit about the wording of the report and it is irrelevant to this thread, despite you insisting on bringing it up, unlike the abovementioned.

Did the word Iran ever appear in said proceedings? Would shock me if it did, and probably why you didn't cite it; you couldn't.
I've linked the article, not the proceedings, and yes, the word Iran very much appears in the article, thanks for confirming you didn't read it by the way.
Or you are claiming CNN's comments with "uproar and consequences" in the title are not representative of swamp's anger?


I'm not sure how I can make the jump to reason when I've said this the last three posts; that you just figured it out speaks very lowly of your abilities here, frankly. If you could be bothered, you might find it useful to go back to my post before the last where I explicitly say I don't think that's the reality. That would, however, require you to have a shred of good faith argumentative ability, which I have never seen a spark of in our engagements.
Dude, this thread is about Middle East, not about what you feel about me and our interactions. You're not my girlfriend, i have no reason to care about your feelings, so i don't.

That's a funny way of avoiding direct questions and "forgetting" you were the one who originally brought it up. You can try with all your might, Marduk, and you still can't beat me at all this year.
You are right, people can't beat you through a computer screen, which is a very lucky thing for trolls like you. I can however mock you, and that i'm doing all this year.
 

Zachowon

The Army Life for me! The POG life for me!
Founder
@Marduk - you poor little thing, as a moderator you can't use the "ignore" button ...
Why would Marduk allow misinformation (amd not the leftist term for it. Legit ignorant bullshit applied by History Learner) needs to he addressed.
Nothing History Learner has said about military is accurate
 

TheRejectionist

TheRejectionist
Something unrelated to politics, but I can't tell what the fuck I should make of this : laugh... or what? Really how you react to something like this ?

 

Husky_Khan

The Dog Whistler... I mean Whisperer.
Founder
New gas reserves have apparently been discovered in Egypt by the American company Chevron and the Italian company Eni respectively, both apparently off of Egypt's coast in the Mediterranean Sea. Both companies have been working with Egyptian energy companies in exploration and evaluation of new energy supplies.

 

Bacle

When the effort is no longer profitable...
Founder
New gas reserves have apparently been discovered in Egypt by the American company Chevron and the Italian company Eni respectively, both apparently off of Egypt's coast in the Mediterranean Sea. Both companies have been working with Egyptian energy companies in exploration and evaluation of new energy supplies.

Egypt becoming a petro-player, and controlling the Suez, puts them in a nice position going forward.
 

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