Is China really a threat to the United States Hegemony?

[Zachowon]

Not really, sane people in government want containment over war, as the last few times war was used, it didn't go so well, especially with the public. Containment is not only more viable but also a lot easier to sell with the public.

Iran's government would be suicidally stupid to cause a war.

And they are doing horrible right now and present a threat to our allies if they make nukes

War with China over Taiwan won't happen. China won't attack the US or its direct allies (ie, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan). Invading Taiwan would be suicide, as the Taiwanese are heavily entrenched and prepared to bleed the Chinese dry. Taiwan is like the US during the early 1800s; sure they'll lose in an invasion, but the invasion would be so costly it would never happen.

Taiwan is important to trade (protecting trade routes), and keeping it out of Chinese hands is important to keeping China contained, so the US will help out. Any massing of troops along the east coast across from Taiwan would be noticed by satellites long before Chinese soldiers set foot on Taiwan, so the US would be prepared early. China would be in a losing position as their fleets could be taken out by nukes, meaning China only nukes would be in their submarines that were still at sea... and they can't really do anything substantial on their own they would affect the war effort besides just further antagonizing everyone. So they won't try in the first place.

The CCP is evil, but they're not stupid. If they were stupid, they wouldn't have outlasted the Soviet Union and managed to survive for almost 70 years.

If China does decide to try aggressively expanding, it will be towards the Middle East and India. The US probably wouldn't get involved. But I think that the Chinese already have their hands full trying to manage what's already on their plate.


As for war with Iran, it's possible, but I doubt the US will get involved unless Iran actually gets nukes. Unlike the CCP, the Iranians might have religious motivations to go to war and might be committed to following through with their beliefs, which makes them dangerous. I'm not confident that they would be like South Korea where they have nukes but are sane enough to never actually try to use them. I think that the moment it was discovered that Iran had nukes, Israel or Russia might get involved and take hostile action towards them, and I don't think the US would let that slide (Iran getting nukes) either.

War with China is a lot more likely. China is growing desperate and have been on the brink of war with Taiwan and it gets worse.

This is one of those cases where I know what is going in but j can't say anything to help my case.
I did just read a whole bunch on it at work, and you are right in some regards but wrong in others.

Also surprisingly enough. The US Ic I work with seem to think we won't go to war over Taiwan.

 

[Arch Dornan]

And they are doing horrible right now and present a threat to our allies if they make nukes

War with China is a lot more likely. China is growing desperate and have been on the brink of war with Taiwan and it gets worse.

This is one of those cases where I know what is going in but j can't say anything to help my case.
I did just read a whole bunch on it at work, and you are right in some regards but wrong in others.

Also surprisingly enough. The US Ic I work with seem to think we won't go to war over Taiwan.

I read biased Indian sources that since Trump has done in his term it won't be easy to pull out of should Biden take over.

 

[Zachowon]

I read biased Indian sources that since Trump has done in his term it won't be easy to pull out of should Biden take over.

What do you mean?

 

[Arch Dornan]

What do you mean?

Just looking at Trump's foreign policy. Examples like Israel is making better relations with middle east neighbours and he's very intent trying to get troops out of Afghanistan. Let's say he manages to get boots out, is it harder to get boots back in?

Then for Israel when they're making inroads with better relations would it be much harder to change that?

 

[Doomsought]

The Soviet Union tried launching a 1 MW CO2 laser in 1987. We've been able to build megawatt lasers for 40 years. Simply pumping up laser power is not the issue that makes lasers hard to use.

Atmophere itself will generally make using lasers in atmosphere difficult.

The benifit of a laser in space is once you get passed the minimum threshold to deal any damage at all, you can use it to degrade and de-orbit hostile satellites while not needing to re-arm your combat spacecraft.

 

[paulobrito]

And a laser in space used against space targets doesn't suffer from that pesky atmosphere.

 

[Arch Dornan]

Know anything about Jacky Ma in trouble with Xi?

 

[Arch Dornan]

@Zachowon your presentations mention this?

 

[Zachowon]

@Zachowon your presentations mention this?

I work in the Korean theater.
I can not confirm nor deny

 

[Arch Dornan]

After Chinese soldiers take ill, People's Liberation Army keen to induct Tibetan soldiers

While conditions in East Ladakh are very difficult, it is bitterly cold and the altitude (15,000-18,000 feet) creating additional problems, the Indian troops are slightly better off.

www.timesnownews.com

They need new blood that can work well in the snowy mountains.

 

[gral]

They new blood that can work well in the snowy mountains.

I assume they didn't do it earlier because they don't trust Tibetans(but now, they have no choice), because using locals as troops is the obvious path; there's a reason the overwhelming majority of Brazilian troops in the Amazon are from indigenous groups.

 

[Arch Dornan]

I assume they didn't do it earlier because they don't trust Tibetans(but now, they have no choice), because using locals as troops is the obvious path; there's a reason the overwhelming majority of Brazilian troops in the Amazon are from indigenous groups.

How well did the indigenous folks take to their new job?

 

[gral]

How well did the indigenous folks take to their new job?

Very. They are prized members of the Brazilian Army. Mixed-blood officers have risen to the highest ranks of the Army(our current vice-president is one of those, although the fact his father was a general was more important to his career than his genetic make-up).

 

[Arch Dornan]

Trudeau's helping to train the PLA.

 

[Typhonis]

How badly will this affect his reelection chances?

 

[VictortheMonarch]

 

[Cherico]

this is what we like to call a casi belli

 

[VictortheMonarch]

this is what we like to call a casi belli

Don't expect "I Forgor" Biden or Miss Best BJ of the 20th Century to do anything.

 

[Floridaman]

this is what we like to call a casi belli

Nah, the Chinese own our leadership, so they just let themselves in.