If Austria-Hungary will survive (for instance, if there's no WWI at all), could we ever see it implode and break-up USSR-style?

[WolfBear]

If Austria-Hungary will survive (for instance, if there's no WWI at all), could we ever see it implode and break-up USSR-style? Or perhaps Yugoslavia-style? Or, alternatively, Czechoslovakia-style? I'm asking because none of these countries actually required a major war to implode and break up, though in the case of Yugoslavia, major wars did follow afterwards. I was thinking, for instance, of a surviving Austria-Hungary eventually implementing something similar to this plan:

United States of Greater Austria - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Only to subsequently break up at a time of crisis--or something like that. There could be some precedent for this with the gradual erosion of unity in the UK right now in real life, where support for Scottish independence is currently at 45+%.

Anyway, what do you think?

 

[WolfBear]

If Austria-Hungary will survive (for instance, if there's no WWI at all), could we ever see it implode and break-up USSR-style? Or perhaps Yugoslavia-style? Or, alternatively, Czechoslovakia-style? I'm asking because none of these countries actually required a major war to implode and break up, though in the case of Yugoslavia, major wars did follow afterwards. I was thinking, for instance, of a surviving Austria-Hungary eventually implementing something similar to this plan:

United States of Greater Austria - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Only to subsequently break up at a time of crisis--or something like that. There could be some precedent for this with the gradual erosion of unity in the UK right now in real life, where support for Scottish independence is currently at 45+%.

Anyway, what do you think?

In such a scenario, I would presume that the Italian parts would join Italy, Transylvania would join Romania, Vojvodina would join Serbia, East Galicia would try to remain independent but might be forced to join Russia against its will, West Galicia would either voluntarily join an independent Poland if it already actually exists or involuntarily join Russia if an independent Poland does not exist yet, and Germany might annex the northern Sudetenland but might be hesitant to annex the rest of German Austria for fear of incorporating too many Catholics into the German Reich.

Anyway, what do you think about this, @sillygoose?