The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

[49ersfootball]

@gral @Cherico @Circle of Willis @Carrot of Truth @Zyobot @stevep @TheRomanSlayer @Husky_Khan @Zachowon @Rusty Shackleford @almostinsane @Buba @Tiamat @The Immortal Watch Dog @The Whispering Monk @f1onagher @Mimas

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[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

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@Cherico @Airedale260 @gral @stevep @TheRomanSlayer @Zyobot @Captain X @Buba @Tiamat @The Whispering Monk @History Learner @Circle of Willis @Carrot of Truth @Julio92 @almostinsane

 

[Sobek]

Didn't hear about that movie, gonna look for and watch it. Sounds cool.

As for the question @49ersfootball put on: It's not that simple. Brazil does absolute majorities, and Bolsonaro is unlikely to get it on the 1st turn. However once it gets to the 2nd turn you could see a 65/35 or a 60/40 in favour of Bolsonaro

 

[49ersfootball]

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[gral]

Margin of victory for Bolsonaro this fall ?
A.) 1 percentage point
B.) 2 percentage points
C.) 6 percentage points
D.) 7 percentage points

Closer to B) than to C), in my opinion.

EDIT:

Didn't hear about that movie, gonna look for and watch it. Sounds cool.

As for the question @49ersfootball put on: It's not that simple. Brazil does absolute majorities, and Bolsonaro is unlikely to get it on the 1st turn. However once it gets to the 2nd turn you could see a 65/35 or a 60/40 in favour of Bolsonaro

Bolsonaro got around 60% of the votes in the run-off in 2018. I don't see him doing as well this year. At best, he'll be doing 55/45(my guess is something around 52/48-53/47).

 

[49ersfootball]

Closer to B) than to C), in my opinion.

EDIT:


Bolsonaro got around 60% of the votes in the run-off in 2018. I don't see him doing as well this year. At best, he'll be doing 55/45(my guess is something around 52/48-53/47).

You're thinking Bolsonaro will be in for a huge dogfight.

 

[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

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[gral]

You're thinking Bolsonaro will be in for a huge dogfight.

He already is in it.

 

[49ersfootball]

He already is in it.

Keeping my fingers crossed that Bolsonaro wins reelection this fall.

 

[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

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[49ersfootball]

Bolsonaro's telling it like it is folks!

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[49ersfootball]

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