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Yeah, this isn't the Sudan or Ethiopian civil war where most people don't really have a dog in this fight, and thus mostly can discuss it with some degree of rational detachment: just about everyone has something at stake in this conflict, and humans being human are going to default to a lot of...

Yeah, if they are setting up for a "permanent" peace, rather than a 6 month ceasefire before resuming hostilities, if they had the strength to launch a final offensive before peace, trying to push to the Romanian border and take the whole coastline would be a more ideal "end state". It makes...

So, were in April now, which is where well see if this is a long war or a short war. Both sides at the start had about a months worth of combat supplies, and high intensity combat burns out men and equipment too. One month from the Russian invasion would have been about March 26th, which more or...

What are the current estimates for Ukrainian military casualties? I've seen the Ukrainian estimates of Russian casualties, and the Russian estimates of Ukrainian casualties, but I'm not sure I've seen one from Ukraine or Ukraine aligned sources.

You didn't though. We had lost most of the control by the surge, and the surge did not stop it. Your assertions have no bearing on any facts of the war.

Some subject matter experts may be worth listing too: https://forums.spacebattles.com/threads/rise-eorlingas-or-the-matter-of-militia.270710/?post=11944973#post-11944973

Well, yes, the infinite money strategy is nice when you can do it. Neither Ukraine nor Russia are in such a position of course. Two weeks does somewhat pre-suppose that they do manage to 1) complete the encirclement, and 2) keep up the pressure. J. Random American with a bit of warning can...

And where has he said that? His argument since the beginning has more or less pre-suposed this would take longer than a week. he seems to have argued that their opening moves in the first day basically secured victory by preventing the Ukrainians from being in a position to fully mobilize, but I...

How long do you think reducing a pocket takes? How long have people here said it takes? I've said if this is a short, victorious war for Russia it probably takes at least as long as the first Iraq War, so final combat operations wrap up in early to mid April. If this has to be fought out to...

Huh, I didn't realize how close the US and USSR actually were back in the day. That got me looking back on the Vietnam War. That cost about 50,000 casualties, $950 billion in current dollars. So, if this Ukrainian war was as costly as Vietnam was to us, that would be, well, 50,000 casualties...

hm, I feel the meme needs a little bit extra to pull it together. Something in the second panel like "why do people think its acceptable to invade countries?" or something like that. As is it just leaving things hanging a bit.

If Russia loses this initial round, what probably happens is what Russia normally does in these situations: rebuild its army and try again. Conscripts apparently go through 3 months of basic training, then 3 months of "advanced" training. About 250,000 new conscripts brought in per year out of a...

I would not say the US is anywhere close to bankrupt (though such things are hard to tell) but I would say the Russians aren't anywhere close to that either. US still has the petro dollar, and a fairly large real economy to back that up. US as much as people talk about the financialization of...

At what point in the War did the N. Vietamese stop putting up aircraft, and the AA batteries stopped shooting down American aircraft? That is your criticism of the Russians here after all, that the Ukrainians still have AA assets and still are able to launch some planes. Therefore, I take it...

Would you describe the US military as "literally always winning" in WWII against the Japanese and Germans in WWII? And sure, the US strength is the ability to expend extremely expensive equipment for minimal gain for extended periods of time. Generally inexhaustible pockets. Losing $2...

Just like we did in Serbia and Vietnam?

I would actually argue that the American Army would most likely have not advanced a step at this stage of the war. Instead, we would be in month one of, maybe three months of SEAD operations? On the optimistic end, the Air Force achieves sufficient crushing of the enemy in the same time frame as...

If this was an American operation with 100-200k troops, and military operations started on the 24th, how much progress would the US army have made by this point?

@ShieldWife but, I do more or less feel the same as you do. It is early, but it looks like this was a misstep by Putin unless he's way more ambitious than any of us think. This will be the perfect excuse to tighten the grip at home, deflect all criticism, force all onto the same page, and cut...