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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    I ignore "statistics" released on twitter or osint. Neither of us accepts the legitimacy of the others sources. I look at results. You seem to think that ukraine has an unlimited amount of men to throw at this. This isnt a stalemate, its an unstable equilibirum. Unless both sides agree to come...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    The artillery spam is winning isnt it? And we have no idea how your airpower based militaries are going to work against militaries with serious air denial capability. This isnt 1941. You cant turn a bicycle factory into a gun factory anymore. And you no longer have the near autarkic end to...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Those pilot light operations are only for certain factories. And they dont exist for the downstream logistical inputs. The big tank plant can theoretically expand production many many times over. But not all their subcontractors. And with the ongoing consolidation of the defense industry, there...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Im honestly not sure what you are getting at JIT philosophy eliminates production lines that arent necessary. If a production line isnt being used and has no likelyhood of being used it is dismantled because its not profitable. Thats why there is little slack capacity in western weapons...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Because they also have production issues? But unlike us, they dont follow JIT production and logistics philosophies with thier MIC, so they keep slack capacity and maintain inventory stockpiles. Still, a gun is a gun. And having an old gun is better than having no guns at all isnt it? Thats why...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Yes, you do manufacture some nitrocellulose. Even europe manufactures some of it. But you are still heavily dependant on imports of nitrocellulose and guncotton. Things that cant be replaced easily. And where did you get most of it? China. And Russia. They do build machine tools. Even you...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Thats great. Now, where will you get the nitrocellulose for the gunpowder? Guess who used to supply you with that? Russia and China. Right now there is a shortage..thats why europe cant increase shell production. You have to get the logistical train to produce nitrocellulose up and running. Now...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    There really isnt much point in engaging you. Ukraine running out of bodies to throw into russian artillery isnt "defeatism". Its objective reality. They recently pulled a dogtag off a 17 year old ukrainian girl who was killed on the front lines ffs. If you cant see how important it is to have...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    First of all, Ukraine is going to run out men long before that time. Second of all, you can no longer produce the needed material. The factories will take a generation to bring back online. Its not as easy as building them. You no longer have the tools that make the tools that make the...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    This is monetary value, not actual output. What is the actual production output? How many tonnes of steel for instance did the UK produce as opposed to Russia?
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    I never claimed russia could outproduce the USA in a specific sector. I said Russia makes more total stuff than any country on your list except japan How much steel does the UK produce? How many tanks does Germany make per year? What is the space launch capacity of Italy? How many chips does...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Absolute GDP nonsense. The true measure of an economy is production, and Russia actually *produces* more than any of those economies except for Japan. Im sorry, you can print money but you cant print shells.
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    given that russian IDF dominance is increasing, I suspect that isnt a big problem.
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Well, if the west supplies 150,000 shells with a failure rate of 5% and N. Korea supplies 3 million shells with a failure rate of 30% who comes out on top?
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Thats what happens when you launch an attack into an area that's actually fully manned. And the summer offensive wasnt a slow one, it was a comprehensive and major defeat.
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    They wasted a dozen drones to sink a 40 year old 500 ton patrol boat that will have zero impact on the actual war
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    The only person who matters is Putin. People spouting off on twitter doesnt count. But I suspect Russias actual aims have greatly evolved now.
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Russia's stated objectives have been set out since the beginning of the war, and they never included the conquest of 100% of Ukraine. Unless they explicitly change those objectives, we must use them as the yardstick of victory. If I were a Ukrainian, my definition of victory would have been...
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    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Winning conditions have been set by ukraine themselves. The complete ejection of Russia from territory claimed by Ukraine.
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