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@WolfBear Impossible to tell. But since existence of Austria-Hungary would likely butterfly away the Holocaust, even if they do fuse within the A-H it is unlikely to have impact on Jews in wider Europe.

OK, that sounds just awesome.

OK, thanks.

True. That is why I said the war gets delayed - preventing Franz Ferdinand's murder would remove an immediate cassus belli. But there had been a few such cases in the years preceding the outbreak of the war, and war was only avoided by very active diplomacy between the rulers, so... I don't...

I am aware. Thing is however, even the old Emperor did not want war OTL. But you do not need to want war to end up in it. Franz Ferdinand survives? Great. War gets delayed. But Serbia still wants to create its Greater Serbian Empire at the expense of Austria-Hungary, Italy still wants Croatian...

More like: there is a good chance they still get whacked, but war happens regardless of whether he survives or not.

Possibly. I mean, he was killed because he wanted the Monarchy to federalize. But I don't think it would butterfly away the war: Serbia still wants Bosnia, Germany still wants colonies, France still wants revenge, Italy still wants Croatian coast...

So instead of historical 1867 Austro-Hungarian compromise, let's say that the Habsburg Monarchy federalizes instead on something similar to the US model before the Civil War, and as a consequence survives the First World War. How would things go from there, and what impact would Habsburg...