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  1. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Okay, so his idea is...solely based on what children say? Cool, where is proof of these maps being widespread? They will be inclined to fight because the U.S. isn't controlled by Chinese agents and will probably seek to prevent Taiwan from slipping out of its sphere, at least until its...
  2. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    No barbs are needed to point out the logical holes in a, as yet unnamed book, wrote by a "Polish teacher" who apparently was interviewing a handful of random Chinese people. In a country of over one billion, particularly without interviewing senior officials, there's no society wide conclusions...
  3. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Or we can deduce this unnamed book is without merit by the fact it apparently doesn't even know it's spelled as Chinese and not "Chineese" in English. Putting aside your weird conspiracy theories as baseless, you can instead look at Chinese military production, training and technology to say...
  4. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Except for the multiple exercises we've run since 2008 which show they beat us in air clashes over Taiwan, the fact PLAAF pilots are better trained and the Navy and Air Force say the J-20 is basically equal to the F-35? You seem to have missed the fact the USAF recently announced they've given...
  5. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    I don't see any reason to think China wants Siberia, particularly in the context of the "Soviets" still having the larger nuclear weapons capacity. Specific to the issue of Taiwan, also that's going to be a no: There’s another concern for some American officials: that the United States does not...
  6. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Wonder what changed? What possible supplier via overland routes could exist...
  7. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    America Ignores The Pacific Islands At Its Peril Take the Pacific Island nations, for example. This past April, the PRC scored a strategic coup when it signed a security agreement with the Solomon Islands that dramatically expanded its standing and military access there. That, however, was just...
  8. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    The first I already addressed at length previously in this thread and the latter I'm sure are of the same vein. Except for all the times in history, including recent history, that showed otherwise. How's South Vietnam doing? Except for the whole fact they don't maintain it, don't have the...
  9. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Too bad we sent our expendable stocks to Ukraine, but even if we could/do send them some, there's not much to suggest that'll make a difference given how poor the Taiwanese military is.
  10. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    The Chinese are undergoing a rapid and extensive nuclear buildup: China is accelerating its development of strategic nuclear warheads in an effort to amass 700 by 2027 and 1,000 by 2030, more than doubling last year’s estimate, according to the U.S. Defense Department’s 2021 China military...
  11. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    I will keep it in mind for the future that automatic translation apps are beyond your capacity. And yet, here you are content to make broad generalizations about China based off a Chinese language/media originating video and have had no issue doing with Slavic language sources in other places...
  12. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Am I to assume in our future convos you don't understand how to use google translate or, failing that, allowing your browser to automatically do that for you? Beyond the fact that this exact tactic has been used successfully by other nations, I again point you to the reality the French, a NATO...
  13. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    So what causes the bullet instability through the air? There are several causes for this: Rifling in the barrel could be worn out, therefore it does not impart enough spin to the bullet while it is leaving the barrel. The bullet might be undersized and is therefore not engaging the rifling...
  14. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    UN projections has South Korea crashing down to around 15 million and Japan to 80 million; this is insane levels of population loss for them as well that limits future U.S. ability to act against the Chinese bloc in tandem to their own demographic decline. I think a lot of people are letting...
  15. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Current UN prediction is China to about 700 million end of century. South Korea and Japan will be about 100 million all together; if they are equalized in GDP per capita, then basic mathematics says no, it doesn't.
  16. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Basically my take as well, this decade until about 2050 is maximum danger, and thereafter we get to see whether the TFR recovery from genetic selection argument is real. That said, even if China crashes down to 500 million, if they equalize their GDP per capita to that of their neighbors, then...
  17. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Is that why we have the commander of the 7th Fleet directly saying they're coming to match us in quality and are already outproducing us by large margins? It's accurate, but it's worth noting this is the growing pains of a modern force and relatively easy to fix. The French had this exact...
  18. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Indeed, which is entirely the point; this is a major shift in strategic thinking by the U.S.A.F because previously the plan was to establish Air Supremacy so as to make an invasion impossible and to conduct strategic strikes on China itself to degrade their capacity to do further actions. That...
  19. History Learner

    Future War with (Red) China Hypotheticals/Theorycrafting

    Since posting this, a lot has come out. For one, the U.S. Air Force now directly states it has given up on any retention of air superiority in a China conflict, instead opting for a new doctrine of "Mutual Denial": Through a strategy of air denial, the United States would not seek to gain air...
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